Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| La Reynita | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 6 | 6 | Tempting Eve | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kissin Riches | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Funny Lady | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Save the Queen | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | La Reynita | 20.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Can I Get Awitness | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Contorted | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Menu Please (IRE) | 5.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Perfect Union | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Pawcatuck | 6.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Low Key | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Trust Fund Philly | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | California Sunset | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pretty Sassy | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sight to See | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Golden Gamble | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | The Rain Is Gone | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Moonie Pie | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Canal Street | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Swamp Queen | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Diva Beach | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rosalba the Wicked | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Clearsugar | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Global Value | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Avie Cakes | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Sierra November | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Velvet Devil | 4.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ruby’s Ghost | 20.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Spying | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bundle | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Velvet Vortex | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Atarah | 3.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Buzzworthy | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Margarita Daze | 10.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Shopper’s Revenge | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Funnyflame | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | St. Armands Key | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | My Boy Tony | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sand Pipes | 4.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sicilian Defense | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Moonlight | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Unleash the Power | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sovereigns Joy | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | News At Nine | 8.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Midnight Award | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Frost Mountain | 12.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | Curlin’s Gesture | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Storm Ready | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Kick a Buck | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Baltimore Heart | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Everloving | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Daring Madison | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fall Colors | 4.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Pronghorn | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Runsweetly | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Unwavering Trust | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ahavah | 3.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Justtakethecannoli | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Girls Rock | 6.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Kalahari Dreams | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Great Moment | 20.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Restless Renegade | 12.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cat Fast | 12.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Shadow Coast | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Unique Mischief | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Retribution | 4.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Valiant Humor | 4.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Development Fee | 3.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dune a Vetta | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Colonel Power S.) – Colonel Power S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Mansa Musa (IRE) | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | No Nay Hudson (IRE) | 4.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Demolition Duke | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dhabab (IRE) | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Gilded Ruler | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Swift as I Am | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kavod | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mischievous Rogue | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Old Homestead | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Let My People Go | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Yinzer | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cromwell | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Morlock | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Date the Prince | 12.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Only in America | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Spurgeon | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Classic Mac | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Coffee Talk | 4.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Oliverio | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Albert M. Stall Memorial S.) – Albert M. Stall Memorial S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Lovely Princess | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Stir Crazy | 6.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tryinmyheartout | 20.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ghostly Gal | 12.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Lakota Spirit | 20.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tufani | 10.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Nanda Dea (ARG) | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Strikingly Spun | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Way to Be Marie | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Join the Dance | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | School Dance | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Runninwiththeboyz | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Classic Performer | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Root Cause | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | She’s Fire | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Champagne Rose (BRZ) | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Mineshaft S. Presented By Relyne Gi By Hagyard) – Mineshaft S. Presented By Relyne Gi By Hagyard
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Batten Down | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hall of Fame | 4.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tuscan Sky | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Catching Freedom | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Warrior Johny | 6.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Komorebino Omoide (JPN) | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Maycocks Bay | 10.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Heroic Move | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Fair Grounds S. Presented By Horse Racing Nation) – Fair Grounds S. Presented By Horse Racing Nation
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Gigante | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Taking Candy | 4.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | What Say Thee | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Unit Economics (GB) | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dean Martini | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Idratherbeblessed | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Relampago Verde | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Higgins Boat | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Money Supply | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Warrior Johny | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 13 (Fasig-tipton Rachel Alexandra S.) – Fasig-tipton Rachel Alexandra S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Good Cheer | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Gowells Delight | 12.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bless the Broken | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Aledean | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Simply Joking | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Ballerina d’Oro | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Anonima | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 14 (Fasig-tipton Risen Star S.) – Fasig-tipton Risen Star S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vassimo | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| East Avenue | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| Magnitude | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| Magnitude | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| Jolly Samurai | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 4 | 4 | East Avenue | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Built | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Septarian | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Render Judgment | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Magnitude | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Vassimo | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Chunk of Gold | 30.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | American Promise | 12.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Jolly Samurai | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Giocoso | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Vamos Carlitos | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Seattle Road | 30.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Jonathan’s Way | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.