Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Areacodefiveoone | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Geaux Amy | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Madeline’s Promise | 10.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lady Meghan | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Pop Rox | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | United Forever | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Alluring Serenity | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Perfect Connection | 30.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Melle Mel | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Nate the Great | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Jet Wings | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Loyal Louie | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Competitive Saint | 2.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Backwoods Boogie | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Highly Flammable | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bella Future | 4.50 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Love Paradox | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 4 | 4 | Love Paradox | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fairhopecurly | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Splurge | 5.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Reassess | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Smart Jenny | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Into Touring | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Spirit of Victory | 3.50 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mac to Moore | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 5 | 5 | Tiz Ready | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Uncaptured Dove | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Girvin Star | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mac to Moore | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Majesty’s Song | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Molly’s a Bullet | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Regal Queen | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | She’s a Hottie | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Candi Girl | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 5 | 5 | Candi Girl | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Red Hot Spark | 2.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cajun Anthem | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | West Bank | 1.80 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Brown Eyed Beauty | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Just Take Notes | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Gratia | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keepsake | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 2 | 2 | Keytothepark | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Keepsake | 1.60 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Nosleeptilbrooklyn | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Blueberry Hill | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Taratel | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Champagne On Ice | 30.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Workout Affair | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Crawford | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Flo Go | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Souper Success | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dr Oseran | 10.00 | 1.9 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dinos Dixie | 15.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Awesome Crusader | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Paschal Moon | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mister Kelly | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Sultan the Great | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Beauty Reigns | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Paradise City | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Indeed | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Quinn’s Promise | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Fede | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Little Squeeze | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Early On | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Decadent | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Goes the Clown | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Oskar Martinez (IRE) | 8.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Walley World | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Wind Rider | 12.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Two Beers by Ten | 12.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Drink N Wink | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Speed Runner | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Devilsgotacause | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Freakazoid | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Eton | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.