Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Not One Less | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Diamonds N Thrills | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | La Tremenda | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Gray Lark | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sabby Sunset | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Trumpetta | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Palmo | 30.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dixie Escape | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sublime Mission | 30.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Maxine Magic | 8.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Splash Dive | 15.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Billy the Greek | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| Billy the Greek | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 7 | 7 | Billy the Greek | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Blue Slide Park | 8.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Break Out | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Chaplin | 8.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Italian Symphony | 20.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Be There | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Talbingo | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Nantasket Beach | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Joint Resolution | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Game Energy | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Nvdia | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | J J’s Honor | 12.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Shaboujee | 10.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Wink of an Eye | 1.80 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Senorita Nomas | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Maca Abarrio | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Ole Red Wing | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Ayman | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Red Candy Apple | 8.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Gonna Pick Domenic | 15.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tonight | 1.80 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Great Hunt | 20.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | My Sergeant | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sweet Lazarus | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Blue Got In | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | R Money Moves | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Defender | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 11 | 11 | Public Defender | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Rachels Song | 6.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Escape Room | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tinki Abarrio | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Fantasy Performer | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Boston Rose (IRE) | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | La Scaloneta | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Domer Allure | 10.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Kake’s Tap Dancer | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Highway Harmony | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | On the Nile | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Some of It | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Pleasestoptalking | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Rocky Seas | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Field of Blossoms | 3.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Our Fortune Cookie | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Holy Kingdom | 30.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | For the Thrill | 3.50 | 7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Its Bourbon Thirty | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ciao Chuck | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Beach Gold | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Redemption Speight | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Sardis | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tucson | 3.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Cognoscenti | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Musta’ed | 3.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sir Magestrate (IRE) | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Not a Dime Back | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Charge Off | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Blaze of Color | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Little Steven | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Moonrise Drive | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Breezer | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Growth Mindset | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Line Astray | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Orb Alpha | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cajun’s Choice | 6.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | K’s Storm Ready | 15.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Summer Storm Stric | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Last U Turn | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Life’s an Audible | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Gloria’s Princess | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bedazzle ‘Em | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | New Ginya | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lifelovenlaughter | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Uphill Dance | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Nineteenamendment | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Risk Threshold (IRE) | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Starter Handicap) – Starter Handicap
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Freedom Road | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | K. C. Chief | 10.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Be Like Clint | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | American Speed | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tiz Romantic | 2.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Speedy Hans | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Stroke of Midnight | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Disattached | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Rock the Stars | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tapit Three Times | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.