Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Smudge |
|
0 |
0-1 |
4 |
4 |
Long Wave |
5.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Smudge |
4.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Bojaca Blessing |
12.00 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
French Mistress |
6.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
5 |
5 |
Hereforagoodtime |
5.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Amourette |
8.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
10 |
10 |
Brisa Veloz |
15.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Derry Girl |
15.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
9 |
9 |
Green Jobs |
8.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Illuminatrice |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Iron Hand |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Sneaky Sneaky |
4.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
7 |
7 |
Neshume |
2.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
P Four |
3.50 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Valiant Winter |
10.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Expect the Best |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Coffee At K J’s |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Fabelman |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Gemstone Warrior |
3.00 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Bean Machine |
3.50 |
2 |
4-1 |
7 |
7 |
Carentan |
8.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Racket |
10.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Antillean |
15.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Freakazoid |
2.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Praiseworthy |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
One Last Kiss |
10.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
4 |
4 |
Scallywag |
6.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Blazing Tyreek |
8.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Iron Tap |
1.60 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
Passionate Cry |
3.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Last Shall B First |
20.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
My Right Hand |
30.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Steeler Mischief |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
9 |
9 |
Magic Slips |
4.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
8 |
8 |
Four Top |
4.50 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
11 |
11 |
Noble Tiger |
10.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
10 |
10 |
Kosher Capone |
8.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Better Luck |
15.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
12 |
12 |
Never Say Never |
6.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Reggae Man |
20.00 |
5.6 |
10-1 |
13 |
13 |
Chromotion |
50.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
7 |
Bold Majestic |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
14 |
14 |
Go Billy Go |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Into You |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
15 |
15 |
Frost Bitten |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Giuro |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
Monet Never (IRE) |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Santos to Wilson |
1.60 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Scar |
3.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Starship Mocha |
6.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Sigrun Fast Boy |
10.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Uranium |
2.50 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Luni Sima |
8.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
In Other Words |
|
0 |
0-1 |
2 |
2 |
In Other Words |
5.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Leprechauna |
6.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Xenon |
4.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Para Siempre |
12.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Episode |
3.50 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
8 |
8 |
J Z’s Last Schance |
6.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
4 |
4 |
Sorority Bid |
6.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
6 |
6 |
Slew Diva |
4.50 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
J P Hellish |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Hot Blooded |
2.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Arashi |
15.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Read On |
3.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Space Launch |
8.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Nerves of Steel |
6.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
2 |
2 |
Thought |
4.50 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Test Factor |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Courageous Copper |
6.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
5 |
5 |
Eastbostonbenny |
10.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
10 |
10 |
Adios Now |
8.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Coercive |
15.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
8 |
8 |
Bella Future |
6.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Ensign Parker |
8.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Loyal Louie |
6.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
My Voodoo Doll |
5.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
9 |
9 |
Fast Fixer |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Inesperee |
8.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Zenith |
15.00 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
7 |
7 |
Jalila |
3.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
9 |
9 |
Seger Songs |
15.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Sailaway |
20.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
Preciseness |
15.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
10 |
10 |
Payada |
30.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Drop the Hammer |
8.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Emtinaan |
12.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
All Night Revival |
2.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
Phoenix of Wit (IRE) |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.