Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | National Secret | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Awesome Empire | 6.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Nabers | 4.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | McHale | 8.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Madroc | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Ripton’s Music | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Timbos Tangler | 30.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Vaya Jeffe | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Gearing Up | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Battle Drum (FR) | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Fortuna Belle | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jokes Up | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | On the Payroll | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fulminate | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | American of Course | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Royally Blue | 3.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Kikitsa | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Skull Honor | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cajun’s Cookin | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Stone Cold Flex | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rocketum | 4.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sponge Time | 3.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Attestation | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Peppermint Man | 8.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Oz | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Winegold | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Bringer of Rain | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Boldness | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Trappezoid | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bold Looker | 2.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Royal Act | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Supreme Dominance | 3.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Cyber Security | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bay of Bengal | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Classy War | 2.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dreambuilder | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Back in the Saddle | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Captcha | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Oath of Omerta | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | What Me Worry | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bakers Street | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bay of Bengal | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 1 | 1 | Carcone | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Coastertothemoon | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hollywood Mayhem | 1.60 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Happyflyer | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Aero Star | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sweet Cha Cha | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Grand Avila | 4.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Makoa | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Navy Cross | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Extrasexybigdaddee | 8.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Drakon | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Clear Destination | 6.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Vladislav | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Breakwater | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Baytown Parfait | 20.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Auspicious Style | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Breezero | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 8 | 8 | Entrepreneurship | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Breezero | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Amor Y Control | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Graytana | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cajun Fantasy | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | David’s Rose | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Happy Ride | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Baby Blocks | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smart Beauty | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 9 | 9 | Princess Cairo | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | British Empress | 10.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Time Is Magic | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tree C’s Kai | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Lauriston (IRE) | 3.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Seminole Sally | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | True Myth | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Accelerated News | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Buddhist Prodigy | 8.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Smart Beauty | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Margaux Treasure | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Big Beautiful (IRE) | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Life’s Saga (IRE) | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.