Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Striver | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bunratty Manor (IRE) | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sofia Paola | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Pop Rox | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Barbara Joan | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cameo | 30.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Ginger N Speightsy | 30.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Starship Impulsive | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cdakhat (IRE) | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Alia’s Faith | 30.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gummy | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Down in the Bayou | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bonmati | 2.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Spicy Guacamole | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lady O’Brien | 15.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Oya Thunder | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Kilkenny Bella | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Siljim | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | His Choice | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | One Special Act | 1.60 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sonny’s Goldenlady | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Burn It All | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Fashionable Kitty | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Princess Deb | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | New Baby | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Zio Lorenzo | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Blue Spearman | 6.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Warlord Cruzan | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Beganingreenpoint | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Don’t Answer | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mintenon | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hakkimi (CHI) | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Awesome Wind | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Buzz Rocket | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Gain | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Notturno | 30.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Midnight Vengeance | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Mustang Bay | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | He’s a Daredevil | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Love Hate | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Roar of the Beast | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Bad Obsession | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Royal Dame | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Clearly Copper | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dontmesswithtess | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Pemberley | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Wow Lucky | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Love My Job | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mexican Sugar | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Madness | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | R Firebird | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Miguel’s Belle | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | No Action | 30.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Foxy Lady | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Shez Speightful | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bullock | 12.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Dove in Charge | 3.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pharoahs Baby Gyal | 6.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heartened | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 6 | 6 | Malarchuk | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Timeout | 5.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Heartened | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | God’s Timing | 20.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | The Thor (CHI) | 20.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Who’s the King | 3.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tuscan Gold | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Amazin Queen | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ipanema Princess (IRE) | 15.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Strand of Gold | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Goodbetterbest | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Musical Romance (GB) | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Center Stage | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Covenant Lady | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Confer | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Avatal Hero | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sals Dream Girl | 30.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Diamonds for Lily | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Fish Mooney | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.