Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Gran Conquistadora |
|
0 |
0-1 |
|
|
Lily Bird |
|
0 |
0-1 |
4 |
4 |
Balala |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Bella Mendy |
2.50 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
11 |
11 |
Lily Bird |
4.50 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
7 |
7 |
Stubold |
8.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
8 |
8 |
Impetus Echo (GB) |
10.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
12 |
12 |
Spun Size |
12.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Princess Claudia |
20.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
9 |
9 |
Gran Conquistadora |
8.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Sublime Mission |
20.00 |
7.6 |
14-1 |
2 |
2 |
My Sweet Adaline |
20.00 |
10.7 |
20-1 |
3 |
3 |
La Gata Salvaje |
30.00 |
11.6 |
22-1 |
10 |
10 |
Blazin’ Praline |
30.00 |
12 |
23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Crypto Man |
1.20 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Line Astray |
6.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
8 |
8 |
Lomachenko |
8.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Heathcliff |
12.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Performante |
2.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Ambushed |
30.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
Shipwreck |
30.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
7 |
7 |
Summer Storm Stric |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Vespera |
1.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Better Than Better |
4.50 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Souper Amusing |
2.50 |
3 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Lindsay Smiles |
10.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Hippy Hippy Shake |
10.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
8 |
8 |
Shancelicious |
5.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Royalewithcheese |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
Cue the Music |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Bella Cleopatra |
1.40 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Fede |
2.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
4 |
4 |
Fontana Di Trevi |
6.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Just a Philly |
3.50 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Kip the Distance |
12.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Valiant Kiss |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
China Blue |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Friolento |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Davola |
5.00 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
How About It |
8.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Ayman |
2.50 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
El Muchacho Alegre |
15.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Iron Sword |
3.50 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
8 |
8 |
Bucchero’s Dude |
4.50 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
4 |
4 |
Kantharos Jr |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Biz Biz Buzz |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Barzini |
8.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
If Not for Luck |
5.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
9 |
9 |
Capture the Lion |
1.60 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Horsepower |
12.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Seaver |
20.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
King Julien |
10.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
High Limit Room |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Vamos Viejo |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Space Launch |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Lights of Broadway |
1.60 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
4 |
4 |
Grand David |
4.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Thethrillofvictory |
6.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Jerry’s Turn |
10.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
People Force |
15.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Mr Scatter |
15.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Fasig-tipton Cash Run S.) – Fasig-tipton Cash Run S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Sweet Note |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Paradise City |
1.80 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Andrea |
2.50 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Yellow |
8.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Unchained Elaine |
6.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Five G |
5.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Fallon |
30.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Dania Beach S.) – Dania Beach S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
I Know I Know |
|
0 |
0-1 |
4 |
4 |
Mi Bago |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Hit That Review (IRE) |
5.00 |
2.4 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Bucaro |
6.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
I Know I Know |
20.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Maui Strong |
8.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
Hammerhead |
12.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Nothingsubtle |
30.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
2 |
2 |
Dream On |
1.20 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Always True |
|
0 |
0-1 |
5 |
5 |
Stone Cold Flex |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Otter Mischief |
5.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
Skull Honor |
4.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Yemrehanakristos |
12.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
10 |
10 |
Always True |
6.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
8 |
8 |
Flag Officer |
10.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Signal Caller |
8.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
6 |
6 |
Cajun’s Cookin |
12.00 |
7.7 |
14-1 |
9 |
9 |
Risen Sun |
6.00 |
8.4 |
16-1 |
1 |
1 |
Our Armen |
30.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.