Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Get Ready to Rock |
|
0 |
0-1 |
1 |
1 |
High Prince |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Starship Magellan |
5.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
11 |
11 |
Starship Augusto |
4.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Get Ready to Rock |
12.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
9 |
9 |
Cryptonym |
10.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
First Shot Fired |
10.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Air Force Royalty |
30.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Passionate Cry |
10.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
8 |
8 |
Orange Lake |
30.00 |
9.5 |
18-1 |
10 |
10 |
Cut’em Loose |
15.00 |
9.6 |
18-1 |
5 |
5 |
My Victory Song |
15.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
12 |
12 |
Fredericksburg |
8.00 |
12 |
23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Madness |
4.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
No Action |
12.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Kikilove |
5.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Dubstep |
20.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Shez Speightful |
15.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Dove in Charge |
1.80 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
Defended |
1.60 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Mythic Performance |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Then |
3.50 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
6 |
6 |
Paris Surprise |
15.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Duration |
2.50 |
2 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Act of Mutiny |
6.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
8 |
8 |
Beach Gold |
8.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Musta’ed |
4.50 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Chicago Theatre |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Musical Journey |
1.40 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Singing Sandra |
4.50 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
5 |
5 |
Citrus Belle |
2.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
8 |
8 |
Once an Eagle |
10.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
R Awesome Sauce |
20.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Swigert |
30.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Awesomely Wild |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Lady Monique |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Split Strike |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Ours for Sure |
2.50 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Moral Agency |
10.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
8 |
8 |
Paynted Blue |
5.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Untroubled |
6.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Frisson |
10.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Galipan |
30.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
6 |
6 |
Breezer |
6.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Nosleeptilbrooklyn |
1.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Magical Day |
2.50 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Ghanaayem |
5.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Decadent |
6.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Anacapri |
4.50 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Frosted Miracle |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Young and Pretty |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Born Flashy |
12.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Cruzin Man |
10.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
11 |
11 |
Dr Oseran |
20.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Esperon |
15.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
9 |
9 |
Bonus Move |
3.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Speed Figures |
8.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
10 |
10 |
Tap Gold |
6.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
8 |
8 |
Spoken Bluntly |
12.00 |
6.1 |
11-1 |
13 |
13 |
Mister Kelly |
30.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
6 |
6 |
Chess Master |
2.50 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
12 |
Rough Draft |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Street Rod |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Playground Legend |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Mohawk River |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Sioux |
3.50 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Sharpazano |
6.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
9 |
9 |
Ben’s Hero |
4.50 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Focusyn |
12.00 |
2.4 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Last Shall B First |
30.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Talbingo |
2.50 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Vertrauen |
15.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
2 |
2 |
Four Beach Friends |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Handicap) – Handicap
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Maryquitecontrary |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Thirty Thou Kelvin |
20.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
7 |
7 |
Sand and Sea |
1.80 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Sun Bee |
8.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Lucky Combination |
5.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Chick’s Shadow |
10.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
2 |
2 |
Literate |
3.50 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
King d’Oro |
1.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Mister Abarrio |
2.50 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
10 |
10 |
Swashbuckle |
20.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Stroke of Midnight |
20.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
7 |
7 |
Disattached |
12.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
9 |
9 |
Papa Yo |
12.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
6 |
6 |
Nantasket Beach |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Nate the Great |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Downing Street |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Mr Scatter |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.