Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, December 28, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Lady Cha Cha 6.00 1 2-1
2 2 Blitz 8.00 3.3 6-1
7 7 Tutta La Vita (AUS) 2.50 3.7 7-1
3 3 Steel Lute 3.50 5.1 10-1
4 4 By Any Other Name (AUS) 15.00 5.2 10-1
8 8 Spinning Colors 6.00 6 11-1
6 6 Okay Fine 30.00 8 15-1
5 5 Tarneema 15.00 8.2 15-1
11 11 Roscoe Village 15.00 8.5 16-1
10 10 La Pachanga 12.00 8.6 16-1
9 9 Burnaway 20.00 11 21-1
12 12 Boston Rose (IRE) 20.00 12 23-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Star Performance 2.00 1 2-1
7 7 Bam Bam 1.60 1.2 2-1
5 5 Free Charging 15.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 Starship Spectacle 6.00 5.6 11-1
2 2 Miss Athletic 12.00 6.3 12-1
6 6 Realta 6.00 6.5 12-1
3 3 Did I Dazzle You 10.00 7.5 14-1
8 8 Camdyn Race 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Annualized 0 0-1
8 8 Amor Y Control 4.00 1 2-1
10 10 Now Showing 2.00 1.4 3-1
5 5 Whiteknuckleflyer 4.50 1.9 4-1
3 3 Chaina 5.00 3 6-1
4 4 Misprint 20.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 R Firebird 30.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Sheza Rajun Cajun 20.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 Noble Dreamer 6.00 7.3 14-1
1 1 Miguel’s Belle 15.00 7.3 14-1
9 9 Lovin Makes Cents 15.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Amazing Woo 1.40 1 2-1
1 1 Gucci Boy 4.50 1.1 2-1
3 3 Walt Whitman (IRE) 10.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 Austonian 5.00 3 6-1
6 6 Smokin Bow 6.00 4.4 8-1
8 8 Insisting 30.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 Allegrini 15.00 5.3 10-1
7 7 Star of the Beast 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Bob Mo 20.00 1 2-1
1 1 Dawn Dragon 20.00 1.4 3-1
8 8 Share the Ludt 8.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Twin Lights 30.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 Tappan Street 3.00 4 8-1
4 4 Abundance 6.00 5.2 10-1
10 10 Insurmountable 15.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 Jimmy’s Dailys 2.50 5.9 11-1
11 11 Multiverse 10.00 6.8 13-1
5 5 Brockton Blaze 20.00 8.8 17-1
9 9 Moreperfectunion 8.00 9.5 18-1
12 12 Solid Left 15.00 12 23-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Capture the Flag 3.50 1 2-1
8 8 Calycanthus 4.50 2.2 4-1
1 1 On Thin Ice 12.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Drakon 15.00 3.3 6-1
10 10 Unit Economics (GB) 2.50 3.4 6-1
7 7 J P Hellish 8.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Eldest Son 6.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Riot House 20.00 4.7 9-1
9 9 Degree of Risk 8.00 5 9-1
4 4 Understudy Kitty 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Burnham Square 2.50 1 2-1
2 2 Only in America 1.80 2 4-1
5 5 Onrush 3.50 3.3 6-1
6 6 Mustang Bay 20.00 4.4 8-1
7 7 Mogordy 5.00 5.1 10-1
3 3 What Me Worry 12.00 6.1 12-1
4 4 Wordondastreet 8.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Abundantia S.) – Abundantia S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Shootoutthelights 10.00 1 2-1
8 8 Imaboutago (IRE) 4.50 2.4 5-1
2 2 Wide West (IRE) 15.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 Just a Care (IRE) 6.00 4.4 8-1
12 12 Twirling Queen 2.50 4.5 9-1
4 4 Moonlit Lady 20.00 4.8 9-1
9 9 Etrurian 20.00 5.5 10-1
7 7 Shoshanah 30.00 5.5 10-1
10 10 Karaya 8.00 5.8 11-1
3 3 American Starlet 30.00 6.4 12-1
11 11 Drum Roll 20.00 8.2 15-1
1 1 Mrs. Gambolini 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Handicap) – Handicap

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Jerry the Nipper 4.50 1 2-1
8 8 Exact Estimate 2.50 1.3 2-1
6 6 Boppy O 8.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 Skyro 3.50 3.3 6-1
5 5 Fly the W 10.00 4.2 8-1
7 7 Ruse 20.00 5.7 11-1
1 1 American Speed 30.00 5.8 11-1
4 4 Yamato 5.00 6.4 12-1
9 9 Possiblemente 6.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Mr. Prospector S.) – Mr. Prospector S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Playmea Tune 15.00 1 2-1
10 10 White Abarrio 0.60 1.1 2-1
6 6 Mufasa (CHI) 4.50 1.6 3-1
3 3 Super Chow 20.00 1.7 3-1
9 9 Illuminare 10.00 1.7 3-1
8 8 Little Vic 20.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Mr Skylight 15.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 Real Macho 20.00 4.4 8-1
12 12 Caramel Chip 30.00 6.4 12-1
7 7 El Principito 50.00 7.5 14-1
4 4 Gordian Knot 15.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Shaq Diesel 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 11 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Candy Gray 3.50 1 2-1
5 5 Leo Toro 3.00 2.2 4-1
4 4 Catalyzed (FR) 4.50 2.4 4-1
2 2 More Money Hunny 20.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Aspen Dawn 15.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Source (GB) 15.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Lady Mary (GER) 5.00 4.7 9-1
8 8 Fay’s Rhonda Cares 30.00 6 11-1
7 7 Coldhardstare (SAF) 15.00 6 11-1
9 9 Novara 8.00 6.1 12-1
10 10 Typey 20.00 6.3 12-1
12 12 Mi Amore 20.00 7.2 14-1
13 13 Amazin Queen 30.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.