Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Thestral | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mo Sense | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Divine Gal | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sugar Bell | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sistersouttachrome | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lady Commander | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fashion Idol | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Miesha | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Go Cats | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | American Hero | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Shamayim | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lions Not Sheep | 4.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Canadian Pharoah | 5.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Pittsburgh | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Prince Is My Boy | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Contrabandista | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Our Heavenly Gift | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 14 | Rerun | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bradford | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Willie Cat | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Preacher’s Kid | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Crue’s N Control | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Coach Sam P | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Safety | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Statler | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Enigma Code | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | It’s a Rainy Day | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Yeagers Strategy | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sip Slowly | 30.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Red River | 30.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Angelsnbutterflies | 30.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Wartime Hero | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Arrogates Spirit | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Family Tradition | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cost Basis | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Desoto’s War | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Colosi | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Euclid Avenue | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gold Baron | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Star Nation | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Henro | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Booth | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Glengarry | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | This Is Uscar | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Save the Trees | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Molly’s Town | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Proprietary Trade | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Time for Truth | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Kentucky Dawn | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Disco Ball | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Devil’s Tower | 2.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Circle Back Jack | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Breslau | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mid Day Image | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Spankster | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Stage Left | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Vale | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Therideofalifetime | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Spycraft | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | El Diablo Rojo | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | I’m Wide Awake | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Big Swede | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ram | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Blow Torch | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Atomic Tone | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ian Glass | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Born Flawless | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Warp Ride | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Palace Kitten | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Boogie Woogie Gal | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Inventing Anna | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lil Knockout | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | No Pay No Hay | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Medicine Show | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Saburo’s Vow | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Last Gasp | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Coldasice | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Fine by Design | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Daretocatchlove | 30.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sending | 30.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Collada | 30.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sky Raven | 50.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Claret Beret | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Queen’s Martini | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Lemonesse | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Undercover | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gloriette | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Stone Cold Lover | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Titled Lady | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Key to Success | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 14 | 14 | First Hill | 20.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Edistrudis | 20.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Our Keepsake | 20.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Managing Mischief | 20.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Unbridled Lunar | 30.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Wise Miss | 30.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Queen Mallard | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Aloha Baby | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Aurora Gee | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Actin’ Up | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | My Julia | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Rosie Cotton | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gently | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Paris Accord | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Doubledaddy Issues | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Kiamichi | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Texas Sequoia | 20.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 1 | 1 | L. A. Diamond | 20.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Indian Spirit | 30.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Palmilla’s Bet | 30.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.