Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Friday, December 27, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Alexaplayborntorun 3.00 1 2-1
5 5 Stormy Valentine 3.50 1.6 3-1
6 6 Ours and Theirs 4.00 2.2 4-1
1 1 Track Smart 4.50 2.8 5-1
3 3 Sumitup 6.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 Drop Dead Sexy 6.00 4.6 9-1
7 7 Follow the Saint 8.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Flight Control 2.50 1 2-1
2 2 Lofty Heights 3.00 1.2 2-1
6 6 Trouble Free 3.50 1.3 3-1
4 4 Tribest (ARG) 3.50 1.3 3-1
1 1 She’s Inthearmynow 5.00 1.9 4-1
7 7 Sister Saint 20.00 7 13-1
3 3 Gogo Bobbyjo 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Ground Control 3.00 1 2-1
1 1 War Tourist 4.00 1.8 3-1
4 4 Back Street Baby 6.00 3.5 7-1
14 14 Birdie Call 8.00 5.1 10-1
10 10 Sky High Susan 8.00 5.1 10-1
12 12 Daddy Hey Daddy 8.00 5.1 10-1
15 15 Country Lady 8.00 5.1 10-1
13 13 Saved by Grace 8.00 5.1 10-1
9 9 Ms. Cajun Queen 10.00 6.8 13-1
3 3 Deroutante 12.00 8.4 16-1
7 7 Grace Hazel 12.00 8.4 16-1
11 11 Hopeitsmyluckyday 12.00 8.4 16-1
2 2 In B. J.’s Honor 12.00 8.4 16-1
5 5 Jus Press Star 15.00 10.9 21-1
6 6 Kathlyns Phalanx 20.00 15 28-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Kenmore West 1.60 1 2-1
5 5 Southscape 1.80 1.1 2-1
6 6 Toni’s Inferno 4.50 2.4 5-1
4 4 Blame Me Seriously 5.00 2.6 5-1
3 3 Aries Honor 10.00 5 10-1
2 2 Regatta Bay 12.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Transactional (GB) 3.50 1 2-1
4 4 Cat On Time 4.50 1.7 3-1
8 8 Count Dracula 5.00 2.1 4-1
9 9 Maasai Warrior 8.00 4.3 8-1
12 12 Red Road 8.00 4.3 8-1
10 10 Caroom 8.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Righthere Rightnow 8.00 4.3 8-1
13 13 Impeccability 10.00 5.7 11-1
3 3 Carthage Cajun 12.00 7.2 14-1
11 11 The Paddock Pastor 12.00 7.2 14-1
2 2 I’m Your Man 15.00 9.4 18-1
1 1 Lil Bro Coop 20.00 13 25-1
6 6 El Perfecto 20.00 13 25-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Triple Trea 1.80 1 2-1
1 1 Backfire 2.00 1.1 2-1
6 6 Candy Corn 5.00 1.8 3-1
5 5 Air Cav 6.00 2 4-1
7 7 One Sharp Tiz 8.00 2.5 5-1
3 3 Beautiful Life 10.00 3 6-1
8 8 Great Runner 15.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Love a Fighter 30.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Storm Ready 1.40 1 2-1
7 7 Initialize 4.50 2.3 4-1
8 8 King Rosso 8.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 English Chunnel 8.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Hard Par 8.00 3.8 7-1
9 9 Finn McSorley 8.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Touch Of Glam (ARG) 8.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 Jungle Law 12.00 5.6 11-1
1 1 Seaville 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Gallant Star 3.50 1 2-1
9 9 Seehoss 4.00 1.2 2-1
3 3 Gypsy’s Soulmate 4.50 1.5 3-1
8 8 Joey’s Game 4.50 1.5 3-1
7 7 Mind On My Money 8.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 J B Gray 8.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Swift N Traffic 8.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Chief Kimosabi 12.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 Juju Nineteen 20.00 9 17-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.