Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Catana | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mega Mil | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | She’s Complicated | 4.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Stand the Rain | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | She’s Fascinating | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Stone Cold Kelly | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Betta Go Go Go | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Play | 2.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Aleah Aleah | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mama’s Dream | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Camm’ Duke | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Muazarah | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Letter Perfect | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Wrightsville | 3.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Elvis Himself | 3.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cyber Attack | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tomorrow’s Wish | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sounds Like Fun | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Follow Your Arrow | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Stormy Midnight | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | La Grotte | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Alley’s Song | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Justheart | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Foolish Challenge | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Big Hazel | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | She’s Cool | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lady Arwen | 3.50 | 1.9 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Patty Van Twinkle | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Diamond Status | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dusk | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Magic Eight Ball | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Saucy Six | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Commerce Comet | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | He’s in Charge | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mister J T | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Super Chief | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | High Tide | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Chuck Willis (IRE) | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hatch | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | G Munning | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 6 | Points Is Points | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | All Class | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 1A | 4 | Save Us Melania | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 5 | On Command | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 9 | Lady Mine | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sunday Girl | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 10 | Mybronxbaby | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 8 | Wudhooh | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | My Girl Jal | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 6 | 7 | Adeliese’s Smile | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Bay Ridge S.) – Bay Ridge S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Sterling Silver | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Silver Skillet | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Cruise to Catalina | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Stonewall Star | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sweet Brown Sugar | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Golden Rocket | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Call Her Bluff | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Khali Magic | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Bon Adieu | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Sweetest Princess | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lisa’s Vision | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Midtown Lights | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Akinmusire | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Run With Honor | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Tapizar’s Temper | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bernie Goes Boom | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bobby Bob | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Pazz the Soy Sauce | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Arcadian | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Nico’s Derby Run | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hot Spun | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Premier Cru | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ready Set Twirl | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.