Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Elodine | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Flight On Race Day | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lynna | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Marys Wine | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Never Walk Alone | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Oh I Giggle | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mrs Zepeda | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Sister Ella | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | C C Senora | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lulu’s Magic | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Broadway Star | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Radiant Rebel | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Country Angel | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | My Royal Princess | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Saucy Gem | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | What Say Thee | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Liberal Arts | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Wonderful Justice (GB) | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Call Me Fast | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ocean City | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Masqueparade | 4.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Create Trouble | 4.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Highestdistinction | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Out of Deductions | 8.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Onasa | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Paddy’s House | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Julia’s Warrior | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Oncoming Train | 6.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Chi Town Hustler | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | We Miss Arlington | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Reckless Ransom | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Johnny Up | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Colonel Barton | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | States’ Rights | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Flying Mohawk | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Stranger’s Church | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Without Caution | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Faber | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Curahee | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Turk and Wendy | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Boss of All Bosses | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lucky Mischief | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Executor | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Tanmancan | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Whole Lotta Lute | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Flat Out Runner | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | All About Tonite | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Manny’s Kat | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Whiskey and Easy | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Malibu Brad | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Itzcoatl | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Come On Come On | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Gray’s Fable | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Smokey Mandate | 4.50 | 1.9 | 3-1 |
| 15 | 15 | General Mathis | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Relampago Verde | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Desert Duke | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Towering Storm | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Rock’n a Halo | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Eff Thirty Five | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Agent Creed | 12.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Scat Free | 12.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Alex Joon | 15.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Unified Dreams | 15.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Berrettini | 20.00 | 15 | 28-1 |
| 6 | 6 | No White Flags | 20.00 | 15 | 28-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Uxmal | 20.00 | 15 | 28-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Chases Magic | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Prime Power | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fanatical | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Gunmetal | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Hwy Twenty Ride | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Magical Wish | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Its Paladin Time | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Shadow Coast | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Thermoscat | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Arkansauce | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Rachael’s Wagon | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Nelson J. Menard Memorial S.) – Nelson J. Menard Memorial S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Accomplished Girl | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | All I Want Is You | 4.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cupids Crush | 4.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Oeuvre | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Speedy Traveler | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Runninwiththeboyz | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Off Ramp | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Cecile | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Harbor Springs | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Repasado | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Riley Jean | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Berlaine | 50.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Joseph E. Spanky Broussard Memorial S.) – Joseph E. Spanky Broussard Memorial S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Nom de Plume | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hoosier Philly | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bru Na Boinne | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lexa | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Champagne Rose (BRZ) | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tryinmyheartout | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Low Country Magic | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bow Draw | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Chapel Street | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Black Dog | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Something Stronger | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Dreaming of Lilies | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Pretty Sassy | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Seraphia | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gowells Delight | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Spun Up | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Massarat | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Heart’s Compass | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Vino Bella | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.