Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Be There | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Muchomachomac | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bourbon Outlaw | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Triumphant Road | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Last Run | 30.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Tricky Tiger | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Live to Ride (GB) | 10.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Paxton | 8.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Show Boat | 15.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Castleharrison (IRE) | 12.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Upstanding | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Padiddle | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Give Me Liberty | 4.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Edgy | 2.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | We Live This Game | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | The Golden Gorilla | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Vigano | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Money in Motion | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Forwardly | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Grand Tower | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Rapscallion | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Battle of Dover | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Team Captain | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Manhattan Boy | 4.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Nathaniel’s Hope | 12.00 | 8.7 | 17-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hartsbeatlikthundr | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Selecto | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Bringer of Rain | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bird Wildcat | 1.80 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Chapalu | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Royal Act | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Navy Cross | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Artemus Bridge | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Supreme Dominance | 3.50 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Drillomatic | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Classic Q | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | No Other Like You | 12.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Without a Pout (IRE) | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Long Wave | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kamari | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hit Song | 20.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Giddy Up Baby | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Now Voyager | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Reputation | 3.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Oxar | 30.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
| 1 | 1 | United Forever | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Payada | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Gepard | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rock to Fame | 1.80 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lookin to Excel | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Souper Sunshine | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fast Fixer | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Oxymore | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Gone Nuts | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tiz a Prince | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Longbranch Lou | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Joint Resolution | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Noble Tiger | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Go Billy Go | 12.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Never Say Never | 5.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Guaicaipuro | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lou the Body | 12.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Racket | 30.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Carentan | 12.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Chromotion | 20.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Giuro | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Dr. Perry | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Zozan | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Top Recruit | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Threethirtythree | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Pirate Radio | 10.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Leopardi | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Thingsrgettinharry | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Norfie | 30.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Yorkville | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Rowdy Jess | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Born Noble | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Classify | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Pay Zone | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Straight Arrow | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sound of the Beast | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Great Lilo | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Omaha City | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Shea D World | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Snipsnippitysnip | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Wind Flower | 12.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Inallprobability | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Zenith | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | No Mo Cookies | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Unlimited Spending (JPN) | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Phoenix of Wit (IRE) | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Satin Stone | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Henry Gondorff | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Gift Giving | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Olivia Valentina | 30.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Ginger N Speightsy | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.