Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Mo for Us | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | La Nina Dorada | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Viv’s Wild Aces | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mia Antonia | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tap Galore | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Good N Sassy | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Good to Be Prince | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Allied Commander | 2.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dan d’Oro | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Final Decree | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Shriner | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mustacheuaquestion | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Nine Oh One | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Mrs. Mendelssohn | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Wauneka | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Afternoon Diva | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lady Orient | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Serving Time (GB) | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Thehillonwoodside | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Carson Bay | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Anakarina | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Small Town Heroine | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lyric Street | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Commanded | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Romany Road | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cruzin Van Nuys | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Beamer | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Lakota Spirit | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Ann Alee | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Trail Ridge Road | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Paint Me Perfect | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Lady Jeopardy | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ba Dee Yah | 4.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Midnight Bella | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Jocasta | 8.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Mercy Warren | 6.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mucho Macho Girl | 8.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 2 | 2 | I Had That One Too | 8.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Frost Mountain | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Spielman | 8.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Map to the Stars | 10.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Good Lord | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Darrow | 3.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Partyvicious | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bruhn | 4.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Donegal Freedom | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Donegal Moonshine | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Reteko | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 13 | 13 | High Ceiling | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lebowski | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 14 | 14 | El Muheet | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Susan’s Boy | 3.50 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Kayaan | 5.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tom’s Magic | 4.50 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ambridge | 10.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Windtalker | 8.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tequila n’ Salt | 12.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 |
| 6 | 6 | El Maximo | 12.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Frosty Blue | 20.00 | 11.5 | 22-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tested | 20.00 | 12.6 | 24-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lemon Sohn | 20.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Country Guy | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dixie Street | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Gold Punch | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cheatin Charlie | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Mucho Marvin | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cigar Van | 4.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lil Woadie | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Kahaal | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jeb’s Lucky Eight | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.