Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, December 21, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Givemeasecond 6.00 1 2-1
7 7 Yockey’s Drivethru 4.00 1.2 2-1
3 3 Alvarado Cat 3.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 Garfish 8.00 4.9 9-1
8 8 Starry Eyed 6.00 5.2 10-1
6 6 Petitfor 20.00 7.5 14-1
2 2 Louisiana Wildlife 3.50 8.7 16-1
1 1 Angelic Knight 20.00 8.8 17-1
9 9 Cypress Gold 10.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Front and Silver 3.00 1 2-1
8 8 Undercover Girl 2.50 1.5 3-1
2 2 Broadway Pearl 4.00 2.5 5-1
9 9 Sue’s Little Zing 12.00 3.9 7-1
7 7 Pat Hand Girl 10.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Mo Smoking 8.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Country Belle 8.00 6.4 12-1
1 1 Betsy’s All In 12.00 7.8 15-1
6 6 Smart Izzy 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 My Boy Tony 3.50 1 2-1
1 1 American Hope 6.00 3.1 6-1
7 7 Man On Attack 8.00 9.8 19-1
15 15 Mc Vay 3.00 10.7 20-1
3 3 Sand Pipes 4.50 10.8 20-1
16 16 Glen Airy 4.00 10.9 21-1
14 14 Kick a Buck 6.00 11.1 21-1
12 12 Coin Miner 12.00 11.8 22-1
4 4 Curlin’s Gesture 12.00 12 23-1
6 6 Devilsgotacause 8.00 12.6 24-1
11 11 News At Nine 12.00 13.1 25-1
13 13 Unleash the Power 4.00 13.4 25-1
2 2 First Player 10.00 14 26-1
8 8 Orleans Tourist 20.00 15 28-1
5 5 Bolt From Above 15.00 15 28-1
9 9 Karlwithanarl 10.00 16 30-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Sugar Bowl S.) – Sugar Bowl S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Countthebrave 3.00 1 2-1
4 4 Tough Catch 1.60 1.2 2-1
1 1 Thrilla 8.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Contrabandist 3.50 3.1 6-1
2 2 Indian Cat 8.00 5.6 11-1
3 3 Doroteo 6.00 5.7 11-1
Thrilla 8 15-1
Tough Catch 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Letellier Memorial S.) – Letellier Memorial S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Sycamore Shoals 3.50 1 2-1
3 3 Gerlin’s Empire 5.00 1.6 3-1
5 5 Nomoretanlines 20.00 5 10-1
7 7 Whata Moon 3.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 Her Laugh 1.80 6.2 12-1
6 6 Black Ginger 10.00 6.6 13-1
4 4 Simply Joking 6.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Blushing K. D. S.) – Blushing K. D. S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Lute Warm 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 Stir Crazy 1.80 1.4 3-1
2 2 Callie’s Grit 3.50 2.6 5-1
4 4 Watch This Birdie 5.00 4 7-1
5 5 Join the Dance 8.00 4.1 8-1
6 6 Autism Community 6.00 4.2 8-1
Lute Warm 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Gun Runner S.) – Gun Runner S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Admiral Dennis 1.80 1 2-1
1 1 Built 3.50 1.9 4-1
2 2 Render Judgment 4.00 2 4-1
3 3 Magnitude 2.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 Chris’s Revenge 6.00 4.1 8-1
Built 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Richard R. Scherer Memorial S.) – Richard R. Scherer Memorial S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 One Timer 3.00 1 2-1
4 4 Panther Island 6.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Mischievous Rogue 4.50 3.2 6-1
6 6 Minnesota Ready 4.00 4.1 8-1
9 9 Ambivalent 6.00 4.5 8-1
8 8 Son of a Birch 8.00 5 10-1
3 3 Dhabab (IRE) 8.00 6.6 13-1
5 5 Stitched 12.00 6.8 13-1
2 2 Bear River 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Tenacious S.) – Tenacious S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Saudi Crown 1.80 1 2-1
8 8 Bo Cruz 8.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Track Phantom 3.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Kinetic 4.50 2.9 5-1
6 6 Velocitor 5.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Warrior Johny 6.00 6 11-1
4 4 Confidence Game 20.00 7.1 13-1
5 5 Happy American 30.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Buddy Diliberto Memorial S.) – Buddy Diliberto Memorial S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Gigante 1.80 1 2-1
1 1 Idratherbeblessed 4.50 1.1 2-1
3 3 Swiftsure 3.00 1.8 3-1
6 6 Another Mystery 4.00 2.4 5-1
4 4 Evan Harlan 8.00 4.3 8-1
7 7 Tonka Warrior 12.00 5.3 10-1
5 5 Stitched 12.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Untapable S.) – Untapable S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Golden Gamble 2.50 1 2-1
6 6 Amarth 3.50 2.8 5-1
1 1 Stable Currency 8.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Prima Bella 8.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 California Sunset 4.50 5.2 10-1
8 8 Drexel Hill 8.00 6.2 12-1
7 7 Paris Lily 8.00 6.7 13-1
3 3 Her Laugh 6.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 12 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Limited Edition 4.00 1 2-1
2 2 Redacted 8.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Morlock 4.50 2.7 5-1
11 11 Native Runner 12.00 3.4 6-1
10 10 Fever Night 10.00 6.6 12-1
7 7 Spamalot 20.00 6.8 13-1
9 9 Seattle Road 8.00 7.1 13-1
5 5 Yinzer 6.00 8.1 15-1
12 12 Cromwell 8.00 8.5 16-1
8 8 Fanatical 8.00 10.1 19-1
6 6 Strategic Force 15.00 11.1 21-1
4 4 Pretty Capable 15.00 12 23-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.