Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, December 21, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Loudthundrhevyrain 4.00 1 2-1
5 5 Trabr’s Creed 5.00 2 4-1
6 6 Sunset War 6.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 A’debris 10.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Mymanrowen 3.00 3.1 6-1
7 7 Homeland Messa 15.00 5.6 10-1
2 2 Mud On My Boots 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Wings Like Eagles 4.50 1 2-1
8 8 Maturity Date 2.00 1.4 3-1
7 7 High Tone Woman 6.00 1.5 3-1
4 4 Overcast 8.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 Bella Carmelina 8.00 4.5 9-1
1 1 Spectacular Force 10.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 Royal Laughter 3.50 SCRATCH
2 2 Cat Island Express 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Bearcat 2.50 1 2-1
4 4 Greatizlove 3.00 1.1 2-1
6 6 Piccolo Uomo 4.00 1.7 3-1
5 5 Roll On Luke 6.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Devilish Season 5.00 4.3 8-1
7 7 Silent Accord 12.00 SCRATCH
3 3 About the Business 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Andiamo Giacomo 3.50 1 2-1
5 5 Silent Power 2.00 1.5 3-1
6 6 Birthday Party 4.50 3.6 7-1
2 2 Sniveling 6.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Mr B Quiet 10.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Applewood 5.00 6.1 11-1
3 3 Dealin’ Stelen 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Awesome Becca 4.00 1 2-1
8 8 Merrily Rush 2.50 1.6 3-1
5 5 Kerrigan’s Touch 5.00 1.8 3-1
6 6 Stolen Bullet 4.50 4.5 9-1
4 4 Short Stack 6.00 5 10-1
2 2 Waaboo 12.00 5.7 11-1
1 1 Poseidon’s Queen 20.00 7.1 13-1
7 7 Mr Lee’s Princess 10.00 7.7 15-1
3 3 Gritty Tornado 10.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Lightening Mo 5.00 1 2-1
1 1 Little Z 4.50 3.2 6-1
3 3 Little E 12.00 3.3 6-1
7 7 Apriority Catch 2.50 3.5 7-1
6 6 Taken It 12.00 4 8-1
5 5 Unified Love 8.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Lexi’s Fury 3.50 4.4 8-1
8 8 Kappa Hill 8.00 4.8 9-1
9 9 True Red Slew 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Cato’s Lady 6.00 1 2-1
1 1 Eli’s Girl 3.00 2.1 4-1
7 7 Mamba Out 10.00 2.4 5-1
4 4 Scrapbook 4.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Summertime Bandit 8.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Itsnotmyjob 8.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Longleggedlaverne 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Shake Em Bella 4.50 1 2-1
6 6 Gilded Daze 2.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Gab’s Humor 3.50 3.6 7-1
7 7 Norma Jean Bling 15.00 5.8 11-1
3 3 Sassi Idol 5.00 5.8 11-1
8 8 Laoban’s Carat 15.00 6.2 12-1
4 4 Who’s Madie 8.00 7.1 13-1
5 5 Lemon Marmalade 8.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 She’s Magnificent 3.00 1 2-1
6 6 Kip the Distance 2.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Devil’s Pool 5.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 Haven’t a Red Cent 6.00 5.8 11-1
7 7 Casually Classy 4.50 6.2 12-1
5 5 Takeittothehouse 15.00 6.5 12-1
3 3 My Lil Poker Face 8.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Kisster 4.50 1 2-1
9 9 E R’s Mireya 10.00 2.9 6-1
3 3 Sassy Spry 5.00 3.1 6-1
10 10 Debbo 12.00 3.3 6-1
7 7 Acesanddiamonds 10.00 3.4 6-1
11 11 Diamond Country 6.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Magical Deal 3.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Country Gem 6.00 5.5 10-1
12 12 Discreet Deal 8.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Later Latertiffany 15.00 8.9 17-1
1 1 Get a Grip On It 6.00 10.3 20-1
5 5 Miss Daahen 12.00 12 23-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.