Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Friday, December 20, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Miss Rosie 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 Shezaperfectdream 4.50 1.5 3-1
4 4 Run Away Samari 4.50 2.3 4-1
2 2 Real Deal Ryan 6.00 4.5 9-1
1 1 Everylittlesingh 3.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Artie’s Deal 8.00 5.4 10-1
6 6 Gigi’s Luv 8.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Munnings Catsle 4.00 1 2-1
2 2 Bet On Bobby 3.00 1.6 3-1
3 3 Pop’s Peppysteper 2.50 1.6 3-1
4 4 Lovely Sassicaia 4.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 El Deal Me Aces 5.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Baby’s Last Dance 8.00 4.9 9-1
El Deal Me Aces 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Wish Me Home 1.80 1 2-1
4 4 Overanalytical 4.50 2 4-1
5 5 Warrior Richard 3.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 Eye Dee Kay 6.00 2.6 5-1
6 6 Write Off Jerry 3.00 3.4 6-1
7 7 Uxmal 3.50 3.9 7-1
3 3 Summer in Aiken 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Father Mark 4.50 1 2-1
5 5 Slick and Fast 3.00 1.6 3-1
3 3 Custom Cadillac 3.50 3.4 6-1
1 1 Hit the Bullseye 3.50 5.3 10-1
6 6 Rising Koto Star 5.00 5.7 11-1
7 7 Party At Jays 10.00 6.6 12-1
4 4 Colt’s Brim 6.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Tales to Tell 1.40 1 2-1
1 1 Trust Fund Baby 10.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Goldzone 8.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Sunday Tiff 3.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 Mallory Unbridled 20.00 5 9-1
7 7 Promdatebonnie 8.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 Pure Hickory 4.50 6.1 12-1
4 4 Tale of Chianti 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Sense You Asked 2.50 1 2-1
1 1 Cupid’s War 3.00 1.9 4-1
8 8 La Boucane 8.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 Connor Talkstrash 15.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 Texas Adopter 4.50 5.5 10-1
2 2 Metronome 12.00 6.3 12-1
7 7 Illuminated 5.00 6.9 13-1
3 3 Shako 8.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Cloud Forest 3.50 1 2-1
9 9 Skalkaho 4.00 1.3 2-1
7 7 You’re On Mute 4.50 3.3 6-1
6 6 Legitimate Target (GB) 3.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Malibu Rain 6.00 7.4 14-1
5 5 High Ransom 8.00 7.7 14-1
2 2 Max Is G Money 10.00 8.6 16-1
1 1 Moddassah 12.00 9.2 17-1
3 3 Last Attack 10.00 9.7 18-1
8 8 Flying Houdini 8.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Copper Crush 5.00 1 2-1
8 8 Golden City 5.00 1.4 3-1
7 7 Pretty Prairie 3.00 1.5 3-1
4 4 From Scratch 4.00 2.1 4-1
5 5 About to Set Sail 5.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 Delightful Halo 8.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 William’s Legacy 8.00 6.3 12-1
6 6 Rememberin Ronald 20.00 8.6 16-1
9 9 Jus Makes Cents 12.00 9 17-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.