Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Time Leap |
5.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Spirited Boss |
2.50 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
Paddy’s Gift |
20.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
First Honor |
12.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
She’s My Lady Luck |
4.50 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Big Lous Messenger |
6.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
9 |
9 |
Glory Hallelujah |
10.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
1 |
1 |
Grade A |
12.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
6 |
6 |
Elusive Chalice |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Warda |
1.60 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Bubbly Champagne |
1.80 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Down in the Bayou |
5.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Holy Coffee |
8.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Commencement |
12.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Moonshining |
30.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
9 |
9 |
Calming Sea |
15.00 |
7.6 |
14-1 |
5 |
5 |
Our Fortune Cookie |
30.00 |
8.9 |
17-1 |
8 |
8 |
Jurassic Chick |
15.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
9 |
9 |
Valid Sense |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Time for Restraint |
4.50 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Grand Joker |
2.50 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Flag Officer |
6.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Zaddy |
15.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Honor That Dude |
20.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Peppermint Man |
8.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Max N Fifo |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Roundtriptoitaly |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Cajunette |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Five Eyes Onmichel |
4.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Who Lady Who |
4.50 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
One Special Act |
10.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Vanilla Cream |
12.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
8 |
8 |
Princess Deb |
10.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
2 |
2 |
Breezey Bella |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Filina’s Love |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Gimme Mo Baby |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
9 |
9 |
Highway Harmony |
2.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Tinta Roja |
12.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
10 |
10 |
Miscreant |
4.50 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Cha Cha Chukka |
5.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
12 |
12 |
Spicy Guacamole |
15.00 |
4 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Mobay Princess |
15.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Arisaema |
12.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
11 |
11 |
Cleopatra’s Nile |
15.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
5 |
5 |
Oya Thunder |
20.00 |
7.6 |
14-1 |
7 |
7 |
My Happy Holiday |
20.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
8 |
8 |
Beira |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Laulauga |
4.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Dominant Diva |
1.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Beaches and Pearls |
8.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
Justinqueso |
10.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Luna Louska |
5.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Scarlet Sands |
10.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Frida |
2.50 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Fairhopecurly |
|
0 |
0-1 |
3 |
3 |
Hits Different |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Lita |
3.50 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Candi Girl |
15.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Motown Mika |
2.50 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
Fairhopecurly |
4.50 |
7 |
13-1 |
2 |
2 |
Happy World |
8.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
6 |
6 |
Delightful Dixie |
8.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
1 |
1 |
Smart Jenny |
20.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Asher’s Edge |
1.60 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Fulanito |
2.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Adios Now |
4.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Eastbostonbenny |
4.50 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Black Fury |
10.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
2 |
2 |
Coercive |
10.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Strand of Gold |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Ipanema Princess (IRE) |
3.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
Atmidnight |
10.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
7 |
7 |
Musical Romance (GB) |
2.50 |
2.4 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Sals Dream Girl |
6.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Confer |
10.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Judge Judith |
20.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
2 |
2 |
Cindylouwho |
20.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.