Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, December 19, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Time Leap 5.00 1 2-1
7 7 Spirited Boss 2.50 1.7 3-1
3 3 Paddy’s Gift 20.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 First Honor 12.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 She’s My Lady Luck 4.50 3.7 7-1
2 2 Big Lous Messenger 6.00 4.9 9-1
9 9 Glory Hallelujah 10.00 5.7 11-1
1 1 Grade A 12.00 6.4 12-1
6 6 Elusive Chalice 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Warda 1.60 1 2-1
6 6 Bubbly Champagne 1.80 2.3 4-1
1 1 Down in the Bayou 5.00 2.8 5-1
7 7 Holy Coffee 8.00 5 9-1
4 4 Commencement 12.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 Moonshining 30.00 7 13-1
9 9 Calming Sea 15.00 7.6 14-1
5 5 Our Fortune Cookie 30.00 8.9 17-1
8 8 Jurassic Chick 15.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Valid Sense 6.00 1 2-1
7 7 Time for Restraint 4.50 1.1 2-1
6 6 Grand Joker 2.50 1.2 2-1
8 8 Flag Officer 6.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 Zaddy 15.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 Honor That Dude 20.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 Peppermint Man 8.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Max N Fifo 15.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Roundtriptoitaly 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Cajunette 2.00 1 2-1
1 1 Five Eyes Onmichel 4.00 3 6-1
4 4 Who Lady Who 4.50 3.3 6-1
3 3 One Special Act 10.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 Vanilla Cream 12.00 4.3 8-1
8 8 Princess Deb 10.00 7.2 14-1
2 2 Breezey Bella 3.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Filina’s Love 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Gimme Mo Baby 6.00 1 2-1
9 9 Highway Harmony 2.00 1.5 3-1
2 2 Tinta Roja 12.00 2 4-1
10 10 Miscreant 4.50 2.2 4-1
1 1 Cha Cha Chukka 5.00 3.4 6-1
12 12 Spicy Guacamole 15.00 4 7-1
4 4 Mobay Princess 15.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Arisaema 12.00 4.7 9-1
11 11 Cleopatra’s Nile 15.00 6.1 12-1
5 5 Oya Thunder 20.00 7.6 14-1
7 7 My Happy Holiday 20.00 8 15-1
8 8 Beira 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Laulauga 4.50 1 2-1
2 2 Dominant Diva 1.80 1 2-1
7 7 Beaches and Pearls 8.00 1.7 3-1
1 1 Justinqueso 10.00 2.9 5-1
6 6 Luna Louska 5.00 3 6-1
3 3 Scarlet Sands 10.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Frida 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Fairhopecurly 0 0-1
3 3 Hits Different 3.00 1 2-1
7 7 Lita 3.50 4.1 8-1
5 5 Candi Girl 15.00 4.5 8-1
4 4 Motown Mika 2.50 4.7 9-1
8 8 Fairhopecurly 4.50 7 13-1
2 2 Happy World 8.00 7.1 13-1
6 6 Delightful Dixie 8.00 7.3 14-1
1 1 Smart Jenny 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Asher’s Edge 1.60 1 2-1
6 6 Fulanito 2.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 Adios Now 4.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Eastbostonbenny 4.50 3.5 7-1
5 5 Black Fury 10.00 5.6 11-1
2 2 Coercive 10.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Strand of Gold 2.00 1 2-1
8 8 Ipanema Princess (IRE) 3.00 1.7 3-1
1 1 Atmidnight 10.00 2 4-1
7 7 Musical Romance (GB) 2.50 2.4 4-1
5 5 Sals Dream Girl 6.00 5.1 10-1
3 3 Confer 10.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 Judge Judith 20.00 7.4 14-1
2 2 Cindylouwho 20.00 8 15-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.