Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, December 19, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Golden Barcents 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 Half an Apple 3.50 4.3 8-1
1 1 Deal Breaking Dame 8.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 She’s a Target 5.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 La. Grand Slam 6.00 6.4 12-1
8 8 Acadiana 8.00 8.2 15-1
7 7 What’s Up Bertie 12.00 8.8 17-1
4 4 Mo Sister 12.00 9.5 18-1
2 2 Watch Money 20.00 9.9 19-1
9 9 Platinumus Maximus 20.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Biloxi 3.00 1 2-1
2 2 Super Curioso (ARG) 1.80 1.4 3-1
4 4 Unfathomed 6.00 1.8 3-1
5 5 Pomeroy Haze 4.50 2 4-1
3 3 Fahan 8.00 3 6-1
6 6 Bind Faith 6.00 4.1 8-1
7 7 Americain Joey 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Well Accustomed 0 0-1
6 6 Shamay 3.00 1 2-1
5 5 Jenny’s Day 4.00 1.3 2-1
1 1 Run Reckless Run 6.00 1.8 3-1
10 10 Special Strike 10.00 2.1 4-1
3 3 Fully Blessed 5.00 5.3 10-1
7 7 Well Accustomed 6.00 6 11-1
2 2 Secret Magic 8.00 6 11-1
4 4 Imperial Assault 12.00 6.1 12-1
8 8 Kisses for Cooper 20.00 6.2 12-1
9 9 Duck’s Money 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Venn 4.00 1 2-1
3 3 Ballinonabudjet 3.00 1 2-1
5 5 Creekside 12.00 1.8 3-1
4 4 Ranch Water 5.00 2.9 5-1
8 8 King of Contraband 6.00 3.4 6-1
9 9 Cajun Mischief 6.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Wood River 10.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 City Park 8.00 5.2 10-1
7 7 Real Action 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Onemotime 2.50 1 2-1
8 8 Box of Candy 3.50 2.3 4-1
1 1 Butchy Boy 6.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Koodie 4.50 4.5 8-1
7 7 Copesthebomb 12.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Meeting Jenny 5.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Santiago Province 12.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 El Lagarto 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Craftroom 2.00 1 2-1
6 6 Surrey 3.50 1.1 2-1
7 7 Altar Girl 8.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Lucky Bead Lady 6.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Leprechaun Charm 20.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Sugar Cane Gal 15.00 4.5 9-1
5 5 Beat the Double 6.00 6 11-1
1 1 Time to Close 8.00 6.1 12-1
9 9 Charming Kat 15.00 7 13-1
10 10 Galaxy Affair 20.00 9.6 18-1
12 12 Mrs. Macomber 4.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Costa Lady 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Deal Pickle 2.50 1 2-1
6 6 Sweetheart Vision 5.00 1.2 2-1
7 7 Amelies Dreamer 8.00 2.3 4-1
3 3 La Deal 5.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Red Revenger 10.00 4 8-1
5 5 Swing of Things 10.00 5.6 11-1
2 2 Take Over Stormy 8.00 7.5 14-1
8 8 La Cantaros 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Oregon County 4.50 1 2-1
6 6 Il Capitano 10.00 1.5 3-1
4 4 Elusive d’Oro 2.50 1.7 3-1
8 8 Bello Creedo 3.50 3.2 6-1
3 3 Fort Bonz 12.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Zultan 10.00 4.1 8-1
7 7 Big Rojo 6.00 7.9 15-1
1 1 Implicator 5.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Wanna Winna 8.00 1 2-1
3 3 Kajun Karma 4.50 1.5 3-1
5 5 Ghost Cowboy 2.50 2.5 5-1
1 1 Deep State 6.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Quarter Rat 3.50 3.3 6-1
4 4 Easy Big Boy 10.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 Shankinstine 20.00 5.1 10-1
9 9 Traelee 15.00 6.7 13-1
6 6 Cooler King 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Snow Flurry 4.50 1 2-1
7 7 Dylan’s Dream 5.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 Imma Going to Win 8.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Day for the Gray 8.00 2.8 5-1
9 9 Flathead Finale 2.50 3.8 7-1
6 6 Good by Faith 6.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 High Donna 15.00 5.6 11-1
4 4 Gypsy Jackpot 15.00 6.4 12-1
10 10 My Idea 10.00 6.8 13-1
1 1 Charged Up Rose 20.00 6.8 13-1
11 11 Stand by Time 4.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.