Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| First Squad | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| Road Call | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 4 | 4 | Vin Santo | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Bullet Breeze | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dos de Oros | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Utility | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Third Watch | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Surfboard | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 11 | 11 | First Squad | 15.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Game Misconduct | 10.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Whoosh | 8.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Badbadbobby | 10.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Road Call | 15.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alchemism | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 5 | 5 | Alchemism | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Byrde of War | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Day of Days | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cool Million | 3.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sams After Party | 5.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Smallschool Wonder | 4.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Fridayswithmurray | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Riley’s Rockstar | 2.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mr. Bogan | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Scudetto | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | El Dollar | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Marchin Into April | 3.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harp’s Hot Corner | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 3 | 3 | Harp’s Hot Corner | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mr Sandman | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Enforcer | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ninja Prize | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Soze | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Yo Yo Candy | 4.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Speightster Red | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Bourbon Calling | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lord Winsalot | 10.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Ron Don Scorese | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Makabim | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Suigu Star | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mega Charlie | 3.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Forever Wicked | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Teewinot Pass | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Aztec | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Jewels in the Bay | 12.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rich’s Way | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hoku | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Helium | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Epic Luck | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Commingling | 10.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Group Ticket | 2.50 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Centaur Central | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cojelo Pa Ti | 10.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Strand Road | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Marvelous Mo | 10.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sweetenthedeal | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Let’smakeitadouble | 3.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Light My Way | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Rons Gone Wrong | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lovemeakaren | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Quercus | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Browneyedvalentine | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | She’s Justified | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Miss Raucus | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Laugh Like Lucy | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Queen Khaleesi | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Addieaddiebobaddie | 5.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Just Step On It | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Jasper’s Pride | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Divine Armor | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hermoso Hombre | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Yes Sir Colonel | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | It’s Game Time | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | In Spades | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dropline | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Check My Six | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Winged Foot | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Zap Motion | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Copperhead Creek | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hidden Promise | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Midnight Act | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Super John | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Chip’s Friend | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Jo Jo Katz | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Wynn Giant | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Title Shot | 15.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sailor’s Return | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mucho Macho Eddie | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Olympic Romp | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Grand Pick | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.