Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Monday, December 16, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Chrome Attack 3.00 1 2-1
8 8 Huntleigh 2.50 1.9 4-1
5 5 Sweet Temperament 1.80 2.6 5-1
1 1 Fit and Famous 8.00 2.7 5-1
7 7 Tyrona 3.00 2.9 6-1
6 6 Jaydensqueenoharts 8.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Rumpus 6.00 5 10-1
4 4 Rambert 2.50 5.4 10-1
Jaydensqueenoharts 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 The Speedy One 3.00 1 2-1
2 2 Aztec Gem 2.50 3.6 7-1
5 5 Name the Time 3.50 3.8 7-1
3 3 Hard Kings 12.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 Temple of Peace 4.00 5.5 10-1
4 4 You Good 4.50 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Tizntshelovely 4.00 1 2-1
5 5 Viva Glam 3.00 2.4 4-1
7 7 Massarat 6.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Aviso 6.00 5.1 10-1
8 8 Black Dog 3.50 6.6 12-1
1 1 Dancetheniteaway 3.50 7.6 14-1
6 6 Fionn 2.50 7.7 15-1
2 2 Hidden Shores 6.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Mrs. Necaise 5.00 1 2-1
3 3 Hurricane Lassie 4.50 3.6 7-1
7 7 Destiny’s Grace 3.50 3.9 7-1
4 4 Diamonds Joy 3.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Requestforproposal 4.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Freedom Attack 8.00 6.8 13-1
5 5 Dixie Morning 8.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Interstellar 3.50 1 2-1
2 2 Fortuity 5.00 1.1 2-1
5 5 Seven Channels 8.00 1.7 3-1
3 3 Sendero 15.00 2.4 4-1
1 1 Optimus Kat 6.00 3.5 7-1
11 11 Nobrag Justfact 6.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 Twoko Bay 12.00 5.4 10-1
7 7 Dare to Fail 15.00 5.4 10-1
9 9 Brother Reid 4.00 6.2 12-1
4 4 Mau Mau 20.00 7 13-1
12 12 Kentucky Peerless 20.00 9.9 19-1
10 10 Wilton 20.00 12 23-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Carpis 3.50 1 2-1
3 3 Brittany’s Dream 4.00 1.9 4-1
2 2 He’s Just Lucky 3.50 2.1 4-1
5 5 Got Me a Chrysler 3.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Star Redemption 5.00 4.5 8-1
6 6 Tambourine Star 5.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Clapping 8.00 1 2-1
6 6 Just Keep Looking 5.00 3.8 7-1
8 8 Shoot the Nickel 3.50 3.9 7-1
5 5 Corman 2.50 4.1 8-1
3 3 Star’s Image 1.80 5.3 10-1
4 4 Innova 4.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 Cabo Mischief 8.00 6.4 12-1
7 7 Stranger’s Church 6.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Shut Up Man 5.00 1 2-1
3 3 Julia’s Warrior 4.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Astrologysprotege 5.00 3 6-1
5 5 Global Pride 2.50 3.8 7-1
6 6 We Miss Arlington 4.50 3.9 7-1
7 7 Crime Spree 3.50 4.2 8-1
4 4 Love a Fighter 30.00 5.6 11-1
8 8 Over Calendared 20.00 8 15-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.