Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, December 15, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Air Castle 3.00 1 2-1
6 6 Fine by Design 5.00 1.3 2-1
3 3 Honduras Passion 4.50 1.6 3-1
4 4 Charlina 4.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 I Be Gone 10.00 2.4 5-1
7 7 Our Special Gift 15.00 3.4 6-1
9 9 Cosmic Chic 20.00 3.8 7-1
8 8 Smoke Show Girl 3.50 8.3 16-1
5 5 Simple Dreams 15.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Bertie’s Cause 4.50 1 2-1
3 3 Donya Know It 10.00 1.6 3-1
1 1 Chip Shortage 3.00 1.7 3-1
2 2 Opposite the Crowd 1.20 2.3 4-1
4 4 Adiva 15.00 4.1 8-1
6 6 Clearly Creeps 20.00 5.7 11-1
8 8 Beautiful and Bold 15.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Cry If I Want To 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Laura Branigan 3.50 1 2-1
3 3 Strabella 10.00 5.5 10-1
8 8 Teardrop Tiara 8.00 5.7 11-1
2 2 Crystal Symphony 12.00 6.5 12-1
5 5 Miss Escapade 20.00 7 13-1
4 4 Quiero Dinero 12.00 7.3 14-1
7 7 Spite Lite 12.00 8.1 15-1
6 6 New Woman 2.00 8.2 16-1
9 9 Gaja Ray 3.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Curvino 8.00 1 2-1
9 9 Brother Tony 3.00 1.1 2-1
2 2 Lured Away 2.50 2.3 4-1
7 7 Hired Gun 1.80 2.5 5-1
8 8 Kevin’s Strike 12.00 5 9-1
6 6 Surfin’ M 15.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 Waco 20.00 6 11-1
5 5 Jute Box 20.00 6.2 12-1
3 3 Landing Craft 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Man in the Can 3.00 1 2-1
8 8 Navy Seal 4.00 3.2 6-1
7 7 Black Apple 4.50 3.4 6-1
6 6 Summer Shoes 12.00 3.9 7-1
9 9 Bettys Cash 10.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Music Mistress 8.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Table Money 20.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Sulwe 6.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 Heated Argument 15.00 4.8 9-1
10 10 Patton’s Tizzy 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Spring Dancer 4.50 1 2-1
1 1 Modo 3.00 2.6 5-1
8 8 Buriana 20.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 Achieve 2.50 3.6 7-1
3 3 Payton’s Beauty 30.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Avery’s Mischief 2.00 6.7 13-1
7 7 Cocktail Humor 10.00 7.5 14-1
6 6 Barbie’s Dream 20.00 7.6 14-1
5 5 Coaster 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Eternally Grateful 4.50 1 2-1
5 5 Hi Yah 2.00 1.4 3-1
8 8 Trumped 8.00 1.8 3-1
6 6 It’s My House 3.00 2.6 5-1
9 9 Vale 12.00 3 6-1
4 4 Lunar Module 6.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Golden Luna 10.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 Mahoney Road 20.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Stop the Spread 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Musical Note 3.50 1 2-1
11 11 Deviletta 12.00 1.9 4-1
10 10 Marshside Mama 15.00 3 6-1
9 9 Let’s Duet 10.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Contour 15.00 4.1 8-1
8 8 In Just My Heels 3.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Sicilian Grandma 30.00 6.4 12-1
2 2 C. C. Harbor 30.00 8.1 15-1
5 5 Legally Lucky 20.00 9.5 18-1
4 4 Dot Marie 30.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Indy Label 12.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Lemon Muffin 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Runninthestreets 0 0-1
3 3 Lassie My Girl 4.00 1 2-1
11 11 Appealing Addie 5.00 1 2-1
6 6 Runninthestreets 20.00 1.3 2-1
1 1 The Girl in Red 12.00 1.3 2-1
5 5 War Music 8.00 1.3 2-1
4 4 No Coincidences 3.50 1.3 2-1
9 9 Sthenic 15.00 2.1 4-1
8 8 Sunnyandseventy 30.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Arr Piratetreasure 10.00 7 13-1
7 7 Street Painter 30.00 8 15-1
10 10 Timbavati 3.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.