Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, December 15, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Drilling Report 3.00 1 2-1
6 6 Oak Hill Lg 4.50 2.5 5-1
1 1 Totally Addicted 2.50 2.6 5-1
3 3 Takeover Fiftyfour 12.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Runninginthemoney 3.50 3.1 6-1
5 5 Dude Drop Kid 3.50 4.1 8-1
Drilling Report 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Tiverton 2.50 1 2-1
2 2 Moonovermontgomery 3.50 2.6 5-1
5 5 Surprise Road Trip 3.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 Country Cut 15.00 6.2 12-1
4 4 Joeybones 15.00 6.3 12-1
6 6 Hexcel 6.00 6.7 13-1
7 7 Outworkallday 8.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Sweet Sassicaia 3.00 1 2-1
1 1 Gastown 8.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 True Blue Sky 3.50 5 9-1
8 8 Differently 8.00 5.1 10-1
7 7 No Cost 20.00 5.2 10-1
3 3 Beautifulnavigator (IRE) 8.00 6 11-1
5 5 Roll Gypsy Roll 20.00 7.6 14-1
10 10 Pasta Salad Rhonda 5.00 7.8 15-1
11 11 Dashyns Dream 8.00 8 15-1
9 9 Dre Me Less 10.00 8.4 16-1
12 12 Mirth ‘n Merriment 12.00 8.7 17-1
14 14 English Charm 5.00 11.4 21-1
4 4 Rock Star Doctor 20.00 13.2 25-1
13 13 Layla’s Song 8.00 14 26-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Bella Bolle 2.00 1 2-1
2 2 Atomic Rose 8.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 Cotton Candy Annie 4.00 3 6-1
1 1 Zoom Erin 12.00 3 6-1
6 6 Bye Love Gotta Go 6.00 6.3 12-1
4 4 Wa Wa Wee Wa 12.00 6.9 13-1
8 8 Flowersforshantell 3.50 8 15-1
7 7 Seriously Sassy 10.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Sir Exton 8.00 1 2-1
6 6 Its Just Money 8.00 1.5 3-1
10 10 The Jig Is Up (IRE) 12.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Stradivarian 5.00 2.9 5-1
2 2 Higginsville 4.00 3 6-1
11 11 Thick as Thieves 12.00 5 10-1
12 12 Sharp Strike 10.00 5.4 10-1
7 7 Numero Siete 3.00 5.8 11-1
3 3 B Wayne 6.00 7.6 14-1
8 8 Imperio 8.00 10.1 19-1
9 9 Puckster 30.00 10.5 20-1
4 4 Rayfield 30.00 11 21-1
13 13 Rosenow 20.00 13.2 25-1
14 14 Two Weeks Notice 30.00 14 26-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Risky Priority 4.00 1 2-1
3 3 Hard Four 5.00 2.4 4-1
4 4 Veterans Day 3.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 Creole Charlie 8.00 5.9 11-1
1 1 Half Magic 8.00 6.1 11-1
8 8 Drewmazing 8.00 6.9 13-1
2 2 Samurai’s Grandson 20.00 7.3 14-1
5 5 Magawildtime 5.00 8.4 16-1
7 7 Half Again 10.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Acousticat 2.50 1 2-1
4 4 Taco Cat Backwards 8.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 Armaleese 12.00 4.5 8-1
7 7 Reimagine 8.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 Happy Hour Queen 4.00 6 11-1
5 5 Amadora’s Empire 5.00 6.7 13-1
8 8 Embrasser 12.00 7.4 14-1
6 6 Eyes On Italy 10.00 8 15-1
10 10 Cheval B 12.00 8.1 15-1
9 9 Jailhouse Religion 8.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Fouralivia 8.00 1 2-1
9 9 A Runnin Afleet 8.00 1.7 3-1
2 2 Royal O’Haigain 8.00 4.1 8-1
8 8 Country Lady 5.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 Don’tcallmepatsy 12.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 Platinum Minit 8.00 6.2 12-1
7 7 Wupkar 10.00 6.3 12-1
10 10 A Miss Deameanor 12.00 8.2 15-1
5 5 Lil Chilly 6.00 8.7 16-1
11 11 Red Whistle 15.00 9.2 17-1
12 12 Sweet Alexis 4.00 9.4 18-1
1 1 Visionista 20.00 12 23-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.