Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, December 15, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 2 She’s Wicked Smart 1.40 1 2-1
2 1 Looking for Ginny 6.00 2.7 5-1
4 3 Sally’s Gold 10.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Holder Close 20.00 3.2 6-1
7 8 Sandi’s Satire 4.50 5.2 10-1
1A 7 Aunt Nona 5.00 5.6 10-1
1 4 Park Avenue Betty 5.00 6.4 12-1
5 5 Panthea 3.50 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Georgees Spirit 0 0-1
5 5 Georgees Spirit 4.50 1 2-1
6 6 Grammy Girl 8.00 2.1 4-1
2 2 Shehanah 2.00 2.4 4-1
7 7 Spencer Tiara 6.00 2.4 5-1
1 1 Gregorian Solo 20.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Scarlet’s Dream 12.00 4.5 8-1
3 3 Gourmet 1.60 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Graywing 0 0-1
5 5 Acoustic Ave 1.40 1 2-1
3 3 Graywing 3.50 2.2 4-1
4 4 Allure of Money 12.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 Pop Coyer 5.00 3 6-1
7 7 Courageoous Oh La 10.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 Excellent Timing 3.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Braciole 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
He’s Got It 0 0-1
3 3 Collected Special 6.00 1 2-1
4 4 Refuah 1.80 1 2-1
1 1 Master Freud 3.50 2.8 5-1
5 5 He’s Got It 1.60 3.5 7-1
6 6 Dolly’s Bank 15.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 Alpha Sonny 12.00 5.2 10-1
2 2 A Lister 30.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Red Burgundy 5.00 1 2-1
3 3 Chasing Daylight 6.00 2.1 4-1
2 2 Elliptic 1.80 2.8 5-1
4 4 Empire Magic 3.50 3 6-1
8 8 Shezanarcticqueen 8.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 Amy’s Light 12.00 7.8 15-1
9 9 Baroness Bourbon 20.00 8.1 15-1
6 6 Carol T 10.00 8.2 15-1
1 1 Brooklyn Dantz 15.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Volatile Situation 1.00 1 2-1
2 2 Fireballin 4.50 2.4 5-1
9 10 Dear Chairman 8.00 3.9 7-1
8 9 Revivalism 15.00 4.4 8-1
1A 8 Roofer 3.50 4.6 9-1
6 6 Asset Management 12.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 Bank Empire 12.00 5.7 11-1
4 4 Frame Up 50.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Klimt Master 50.00 7.3 14-1
1 1 Magni 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Sir Kartrite 1.00 1 2-1
4 4 Scheduling Dude 8.00 1.9 4-1
3 3 In the Chase 3.50 2.4 5-1
2 2 Western Wolf 8.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Friend Ofthe Devil 5.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Gimme Gimme 15.00 6.2 12-1
6 6 Saratoga Warrior 10.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Optic Way 4.50 1 2-1
8 8 Mystic Night 5.00 2.8 5-1
7 7 Bar Fourteen 10.00 4 8-1
1 1 Commandperformance 12.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Blake B. 6.00 5.3 10-1
10 10 Mr. Swagger 8.00 5.6 10-1
5 5 Beachwalker 3.50 5.6 11-1
4 4 Retail Man 20.00 5.7 11-1
9 9 Fiery Heart 8.00 6.2 12-1
6 6 Wild Banker 10.00 9 17-1
3 3 Prince of Joy 30.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Sweet Anniversary 2.50 1 2-1
1 1 Sail With the Wind 5.00 1.7 3-1
10 10 Stress Reliever 3.50 2.1 4-1
9 9 Fast and Frisky 4.50 2.2 4-1
4 4 Tosconova Beauty 20.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Intentious 15.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Moonlit Weekend 12.00 5.8 11-1
7 7 Last Glory 15.00 6.8 13-1
2 2 Ariana Rye 6.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Troubled Luck 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Cattani 0 0-1
1A 6 Big Ego 10.00 1 2-1
6 7 Senegal 3.50 1.5 3-1
12 13 Burn Rubber 5.00 1.7 3-1
4 3 Lu’s Redemption 8.00 3.2 6-1
13 14 Cattani 10.00 3.6 7-1
11 12 Albedo 20.00 4.9 9-1
10 11 Tiz the Prince 4.00 5.4 10-1
5 5 Sweet Tone 20.00 5.5 10-1
9 10 Triple Word Score 20.00 5.8 11-1
1 4 Neptune Beach 10.00 6.1 12-1
8 9 Landauer 10.00 7.4 14-1
7 8 Maximus Monster 30.00 8.1 15-1
2 1 State Treasure E J 30.00 SCRATCH
3 2 Lao Way 10.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.