Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Count de Monet | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Algebra | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Life Is Hard | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Arrogates Spirit | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Family Tradition | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Chapel Barn | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Contrabandista | 15.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Vanisky | 30.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Mystifier | 30.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Red Devil | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stiglets | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 5 | 5 | Spurgeon | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Authentic Gallop | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tom Cat Tuesday | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Stiglets | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Original Sin | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Caldera | 3.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Real Blues | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Problem Solved | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Show Time | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dance Some Mo | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Funny Uncle | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Interlock Empire | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Seas of Normandy | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Parkway | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | What’s Up Doc | 3.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Rivetage | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Neon Nights | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Wildwood Queen | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cashmere Baby | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Sassy Lass | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sparkly | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Q’s Your Mama | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ngala | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Blue Ember | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Sophie’s Star | 30.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Petit Jean | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Be My Huckleberry | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sarah in the House | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joyful Pursuit | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 3 | 3 | Dinahs Girl | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Helen’s Revenge | 8.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Blue Dazzler | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | So Emotional | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Frannie’s Wish | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lasko Lady | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Joyful Pursuit | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sweet Marie | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lilly Mae | 20.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Traciana | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Our Pearlie | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Mackman | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Underhill’s Tab | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Full Screen | 2.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dai Vernon | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Creative Minister | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Machine Gun Man | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lucky Boss | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Paynter’s Canvas | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sandman | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 4 | 4 | Calling Card | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Instant Replay | 5.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | McDude | 12.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Big Much | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Rio Chama | 20.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Big Boat | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Extradition | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sandman | 3.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Global Legend | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Bout Tree Fiddy | 50.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eskenforaraise | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 2 | 2 | Complex Secret | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Terra Bella | 3.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Alanis | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Eskenforaraise | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Kerry’s Kiss | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Indy Bay | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Emmallene | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Sight to See | 5.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Calipari’s Girl | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Nalla D | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Jackman | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bohemian Bo | 4.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Easy Action | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Chiringo | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Classic Car Wash | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Awesome Aaron | 6.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Macron | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Market Street | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Asset Basis | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Aheadofthegame | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mr. Thunderstruck | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cool Memory | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Beealea | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Khozy My Boy | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Out Run’m | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Colosi | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Gold Baron | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Jewelstown | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Talk to Tokey | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.