Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Astrology Girl | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Customerunhappy | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Tarkington Girl | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sho Nuff | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Kat’s Princess | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Gap Daddy | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dee’s Lil Fool | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Betonya | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Secretly Sweet | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Fire Sword | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Starburst | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Izzy’s Baby Boy | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Affirm Chief | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hard to Come By | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dried Pepper | 5.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Calculated Luv | 4.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Louisiana Boss | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tap the Tequila | 5.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Yakety Yock | 8.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Deelitesandimsum | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | My Special Star | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bella’s Boss | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | My First Deal | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Native Red | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Game Port | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tommie’s True | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Sweet Talkin Slick | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Piccolo Uomo | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | K R Power Storm | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mystic Hope | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Summertime Peppers | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mr. Texas Charm | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lucas Zip It | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Loudermilk | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Quick Zong | 8.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Happy Season | 10.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Patek | 4.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Midnight Avenger | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Grand Sam | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | We Call Him Doc | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | North of Bali | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Zestiny | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Country Hit | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Unbridled’s Heir | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Olympia Harbor | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Gotmy Mo Jo Workin | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | One Putt Richie | 4.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lover Boy | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Uptown Social | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Holy Bayou | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lode of Blarney | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | War Song | 8.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Black Candy | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Deal With Him | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Colonel Barton | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Empty Holster | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Brilliant Colors | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ojitos | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Hello Hello Mister | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gotta Deal | 4.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | It’s a Bird | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Imperial Dynasty | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Distinctly Golden | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Big Rasee | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ampitup | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Regal Temple | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Diamond Empress | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Simoneaux Storm | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Sammy Sam Sam | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fern Spirit | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Elwin | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gottotry Mischief | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Dreamy Deal | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Pitchatizzy | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | School Teacher | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Trakas | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sigarra | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | R T’s Star | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Won Bright Light | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Clever Race | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.