Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Valtesse | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lady Hopper | 4.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Itsnotmyjob | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dianna’s Jet | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bet On Bourbon | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lunch Lady | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Aunt Irene | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bitsy C C Lil Girl | 8.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Starbuck Luck | 10.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Pegaso | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Chad’s Flashy Ways | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Louisiana Luca | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Star Apriority | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mariachi Man | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Blesseduponastar | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Target Ready | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tee’s Zong | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Bitsy’s Star | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Bellamy Brother | 3.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Iron Fortune | 4.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Astrology Wonowon | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Louisiana Bargain | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Kat’s Soldier | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Magic Bind | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Frenetic Day | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Berndt Marshmallow | 20.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Native Requite | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Kah Nigh | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | R T’s Cajun | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Tiz Donegal | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | First Class Harlow | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Lil Sweet Thang | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mayheminthepalace | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Briartown | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Red Idol | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Inchhighatahundred | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | She Smiled At Me | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Hidden Love | 4.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Beulah K | 6.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Aspen Link | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lexington Diva | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Nownowdancer | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sparkle City | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Gogo Bobbyjo | 10.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ragazza | 15.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bye Bye Big Baby | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Steel Argument | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mokings | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Infinitesimal | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | A Million Stars | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Midnight Halo | 2.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Chad’s Flash | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bet Again | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Throwin’ Shade | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Wings Like Eagles | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Molto Vino | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | You Have No Idea | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Double Gem | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mrs. Macomber | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Molli Way | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Baileys Shot | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Quiet Melody | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Run Dreaming | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Bella Carmelina | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Circle Up | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Night Stick | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dewclaw | 3.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Friendly Hint | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Seitan | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sonny’s Nelson | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Texas Cactus Jack | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Keep Up the Pace | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Postup | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Irish Billy | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Wow Bubble | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Pea Eye | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.