Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, December 12, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Young At Heart 3.50 1 2-1
3 3 Carol Said No 2.00 1.7 3-1
2 2 Game Like Reyana 8.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 I Heard Somethings 15.00 4 8-1
7 7 My Daughters’ Gift 15.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 Wave 10.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Midnightloveaffair 1.60 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Street Jam 1.60 1 2-1
5 5 Find Your Joy 6.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Irish Jackson 3.50 4.6 9-1
6 6 Jackson Avenue 6.00 5.7 11-1
4 4 Mysaria 4.50 5.7 11-1
3 3 Kaymus 12.00 6.2 12-1
7 7 Book of Wisdom 8.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Lady Jasmine 3.50 1 2-1
7 7 Spring Magic 0.80 2.1 4-1
2 2 Starry Midnight 8.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Karen’s Honor 8.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Dolce Sera 15.00 5.4 10-1
4 4 Shoopthereitis 30.00 5.7 11-1
6 6 Belle of the Ball 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Normandy Hero 4.50 1 2-1
7 7 Wake Surf 6.00 2.7 5-1
6 6 Chileno 2.50 2.8 5-1
4 4 Whiskey N Soda 6.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 O P Firecracker 5.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Portos 12.00 5.7 11-1
8 8 Ice Time 20.00 6.1 12-1
1 1 Merit 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Fancy Azteca 0 0-1
2 2 Everyoneloveslinda 3.50 1 2-1
3 3 Fancy Azteca 6.00 3.4 6-1
8 8 Tricky Temper 3.00 3.6 7-1
7 7 Shesalittle Edgy 6.00 4 8-1
4 4 Proud Foot 4.00 4.1 8-1
6 6 Willow Bend 6.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Frau Diablo 10.00 5.7 11-1
5 5 I’m Buzzy 12.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 1 Prove Worthy 4.50 1 2-1
7 6 Midnight Worker 20.00 1.8 3-1
8 8 Arrebato 20.00 2 4-1
9 9 Indianquest 10.00 2.4 5-1
4 3 Ice Road 8.00 2.8 5-1
1 7 Melt With You 2.50 3 6-1
5 4 Steady Progress 30.00 5.2 10-1
6 5 Strong Light 30.00 6.5 12-1
3 2 Paddington 1.20 SCRATCH
1A 10 Arrow Speed 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Speightful Lily 3.50 1 2-1
6 6 Harlan’s Bond 15.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Maggy’s Palace 4.50 5 9-1
11 11 Mosienko 10.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 Miss Lao 5.00 5.8 11-1
3 3 Kara Para 12.00 6.1 12-1
4 4 The Shoe Lady 8.00 6.2 12-1
9 9 Echo in Eternity 30.00 7.2 14-1
10 10 True Empress 4.50 SCRATCH
5 5 Sue Ellen Mishkin 8.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Foxy Cara 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Margin of Air 5.00 1 2-1
3 3 Yo Daddy 4.50 2.1 4-1
4 4 Magical Ways 12.00 2.8 5-1
7 7 Mama’s Gold 3.00 3 6-1
2 2 Summer Cause 8.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Donegal Surges 2.50 3.7 7-1
8 8 Treble Clef 15.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 Mistical Curlin 10.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Alternate Reality 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Isomarshall 0 0-1
4 3 Allofasuddenlee 3.50 1 2-1
2 1 Magic Beach 4.00 2.5 5-1
11 12 Scherzando 4.50 4.3 8-1
10 11 Wind Dancer 10.00 4.5 8-1
3 2 Take the Gold 10.00 4.6 9-1
6 5 Isomarshall 12.00 6.1 12-1
7 6 Tomschickenfingers 6.00 7.1 13-1
5 4 Dream Alliance 30.00 7.9 15-1
1A 10 Solo Flight 6.00 8.1 15-1
9 9 This Time Yes 30.00 11.2 21-1
8 7 Sicilianaire 15.00 11.2 21-1
1 8 Drive Thru 6.00 12 23-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.