Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks for Wednesday, December 11, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Dark Dutchess 4.00 1 2-1
3 3 Paint Me Beautiful 4.50 3.2 6-1
5 5 She Can Scat 6.00 3.5 7-1
9 9 Namora 3.50 3.7 7-1
8 8 Hyacinth Bucket 5.00 6.3 12-1
10 10 Ode to Edie 10.00 6.7 13-1
4 4 Charlize Chub 15.00 8.2 16-1
1 1 Stella d’Amore 6.00 8.7 16-1
2 2 Bruno Barber Girl 10.00 9.3 18-1
7 7 Udidn’tpay 20.00 10.9 21-1
6 6 Sweetest Moment 15.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Bobby the Tank 2.50 1 2-1
2 2 Big Beemster 1.80 1.9 4-1
4 4 October Bliss 6.00 4.3 8-1
8 8 Nicole’s King 4.50 4.8 9-1
1 1 Scamp Walker 5.00 5.8 11-1
6 6 Tough Workout 10.00 7 13-1
3 3 Plenty of Time 8.00 7.6 14-1
5 5 Back East 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Solemn Oath 2.00 1 2-1
3 3 Amaterasu 2.50 1.9 4-1
1 1 Fast Mule 3.50 2.2 4-1
5 5 Lamasco 4.00 2.6 5-1
7 7 Heart Light 6.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Peacelovenkarma 10.00 6.6 12-1
2 2 A Bit Bad N Boujee 15.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Demolition Woman 3.50 1 2-1
5 5 Vivi Rose 10.00 1.6 3-1
2 2 Rock Me Gently 1.80 1.8 3-1
3 3 Pretty Geisha 2.50 2.2 4-1
4 4 Fitness 4.50 3.2 6-1
6 6 Kaya Star 12.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Renegade Serenade 4.50 1 2-1
4 4 Dr Bayter 2.50 3.3 6-1
7 7 Ascribe 3.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Fenwick Jack 10.00 3.9 7-1
8 8 Villanito 8.00 6.2 12-1
5 5 McMagic 20.00 6.5 12-1
9 9 Fast Payday 5.00 7.6 14-1
10 10 Milagroso 12.00 9.2 17-1
1 1 Hey What’s Up 12.00 9.6 18-1
6 6 I’m Not a Baby 20.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Smoke Wagon 3.00 1 2-1
2 2 Check My Six 3.50 1.5 3-1
4 4 Secured Landing 8.00 2.5 5-1
7 7 Lucky Dude 4.50 3.9 7-1
8 8 Mo Rewards 5.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Group Ticket 4.00 5.5 10-1
3 3 Jewels in the Bay 12.00 5.8 11-1
6 6 Balantyne 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Reconcile 1.60 1 2-1
7 7 Alani 2.50 2.6 5-1
4 4 Beautifulcrazygirl 4.50 3.4 6-1
2 2 Beautiful Bolt 4.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Jody’s Ruby 10.00 7.1 13-1
5 5 Merrychill 15.00 7.4 14-1
8 8 Swans Island 15.00 7.8 15-1
1 1 J Willard 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Sir Palace Prince 2.50 1 2-1
4 4 Missouri River 5.00 1.5 3-1
6 6 Chineseiam 3.00 1.6 3-1
7 7 Starlord 4.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 Onlygodcanjudgeme 8.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Hot Love 8.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 E T’s Evasive Moon 12.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Ambitiously Placed 2.50 1 2-1
6 6 Pachelbel 1.60 3.1 6-1
4 4 Planet Clare 5.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Eclair Blanc 5.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Boss Like Beth 12.00 5.6 11-1
1 1 Summary Judgment 8.00 6.5 12-1
7 7 Et’s Moon Maiden 12.00 6.7 13-1
8 8 Civil Notion 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Leftover Sushi 10.00 1 2-1
7 7 Khozy Colby 3.50 2.5 5-1
2 2 Java’s Lucky Lady 10.00 3.5 7-1
8 8 Made Birdie 4.00 4 8-1
4 4 Independent 4.50 4.5 8-1
1 1 Pretty Lily 10.00 4.5 9-1
10 10 Wildcat Girl 10.00 5.3 10-1
9 9 Take Time to Dream 5.00 6 11-1
3 3 Eighty Eight Keys 15.00 6.8 13-1
11 11 Raichu 10.00 7.1 13-1
6 6 Brooklyn Heights 15.00 11 21-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.