Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Wednesday, December 11, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Bread to Run 0 0-1
7 7 Bourbon Spirit 2.50 1 2-1
2 2 Wild Bert 3.50 3.7 7-1
4 4 Ghent 4.50 4 8-1
3 3 Bubba’s Reckless 4.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Slither 6.00 6.1 12-1
5 5 Alleva 12.00 6.7 13-1
1 1 Crankshaft 5.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Rusty’s Sunrise 2.00 1 2-1
4 4 Lord Harmony 4.50 2.5 5-1
2 2 That Is Awesome 5.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 Megans Millions 3.50 2.9 5-1
7 7 Sara’s Sapphire 8.00 2.9 6-1
3 3 Cherry Star 6.00 6.3 12-1
6 6 My Royal Princess 10.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Special Feature 3.50 1 2-1
1 1 Cupie Cutie 4.00 2 4-1
5 5 Secret Tee 2.00 2.7 5-1
6 6 Glorious Gears 8.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 Shelbi’s Star 4.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 Gypsy’s Ride 6.00 6.6 12-1
7 7 Miss Mo Tom 15.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Relic Hunter 2.50 SCRATCH
10 10 Reginald Aurelius 6.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Empire Kid 3.50 4.2 8-1
8 8 Apriority Avenger 5.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Triple Red Aces 8.00 5.2 10-1
5 5 Family Creed 12.00 7.2 14-1
4 4 Mr. Butch Womble 20.00 8.5 16-1
2 2 Kit Kat Kidd 20.00 10.3 19-1
7 7 G E H Giants Way 15.00 SCRATCH
9 9 H V Xtra Wild Heat 8.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Mud On My Boots 6.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Trabr’s Creed 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Sarah’s Vision 2.50 1 2-1
7 7 Guitar Doctor 3.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Pacificislandtime 6.00 2.6 5-1
6 6 Bayou Jam 4.00 3 6-1
2 2 Joey’s Lightening 8.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Fiesty Fist 4.50 4.5 8-1
3 3 Bisping 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Yakety Yak 3.00 1 2-1
2 2 Vobiscum 1.80 1.7 3-1
7 7 Hay Diddle Diddle 4.50 1.8 3-1
4 4 Bobby Merlot 6.00 3.4 6-1
6 6 Watch the Coast 8.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 Out Making Treble 15.00 6.3 12-1
8 8 Rocky Boy 12.00 8 15-1
3 3 Wicked Tough 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Uncashed 1.80 1 2-1
7 7 Old Homestead 4.00 2.9 6-1
4 4 Lagoon 3.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Strong Promise 4.50 3.8 7-1
5 5 Doublediamond Deal 12.00 5 9-1
6 6 Midnight Fire 8.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Chief Brady 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 My Uncle Leon 6.00 1 2-1
4 4 Touchdown Joe 4.50 4.5 8-1
6 6 Moro Mafia 3.50 5.1 10-1
1 1 Jazzy Justin 15.00 5.7 11-1
8 8 Motawaafeq 5.00 6 11-1
3 3 Sadie’s Light 8.00 7 13-1
7 7 Stiff Drink 2.50 7.4 14-1
2 2 All Together 10.00 8 15-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.