Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, December 7, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Boogie Woogie Gal 1.60 1 2-1
5 5 Foxy Zorra 2.50 1.8 3-1
3 3 Indian Spirit 15.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Lil Knockout 4.50 3.6 7-1
2 2 Chiquita Reina 5.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 No Pay No Hay 8.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Texas Sequoia 12.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Mr Puk 1.80 1 2-1
4 4 Principe Carlo 2.50 2.4 5-1
8 8 Stand Proud 5.00 4.3 8-1
7 7 Risk Profile 12.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Lemon Drop Shot 15.00 6 11-1
6 6 Stomping Hotrod 30.00 6 11-1
2 2 Captain Jack 30.00 6.1 12-1
5 5 Worth Looking 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Staygoldponyboy 1.60 1 2-1
5 5 Arjun for Karz 12.00 1.7 3-1
3 3 Improbability 3.00 2.5 5-1
6 6 Chasin’ Chaffin 30.00 3 6-1
8 8 Floating Smokey 30.00 4 8-1
1 1 Tip Toe Joe 8.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Work Boots 30.00 7.2 14-1
7 7 Maxi Boots 2.50 8.4 16-1
9 9 Sweet La Crema 10.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Axton 6.00 1 2-1
7 7 Pinky Ring Bling 4.00 1.9 4-1
4 4 Guided Arrow 5.00 2.9 5-1
3 3 Afternoon Heat 2.00 2.9 5-1
9 9 Man On the Moon 3.50 4.2 8-1
5 5 Deflater 20.00 5.4 10-1
8 8 Permafrost 10.00 6.4 12-1
6 6 Pico d’Oro 20.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Bettering 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Get Away With It 4.00 1 2-1
12 12 Yeagers Strategy 20.00 4 8-1
10 10 Unnecessary Tricks 12.00 4.3 8-1
9 9 Stillbilly 3.50 4.8 9-1
7 7 Classic Cinema 2.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Baby Nova 15.00 6.4 12-1
4 4 Safety 15.00 7 13-1
8 8 Willie Cat 12.00 7.4 14-1
5 5 Mandatory Mission 15.00 7.7 15-1
6 6 Rerun 20.00 8.7 16-1
2 2 Red River 30.00 9 17-1
11 11 Crue’s N Control 10.00 9.8 19-1
14 14 Bradford 3.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Coach Sam P 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Popperina 3.50 1 2-1
9 9 Banterra 15.00 2.4 4-1
7 7 Lite It Up Louie 4.00 3.9 7-1
10 10 First Hill 20.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Mischievous Gal 5.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 Bennykayandsuzytoo 12.00 5 9-1
6 6 Lady Dreamer 30.00 5.9 11-1
3 3 Edistrudis 10.00 7 13-1
8 8 Singing Emma 20.00 7.1 13-1
2 2 Silvia 20.00 8.3 16-1
11 11 Key to Success 20.00 8.7 16-1
14 14 Dance My Way 30.00 9 17-1
12 12 Theresasilverlinin 2.50 SCRATCH
13 13 Wild Bout Hilary 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Warp Ride 0 0-1
3 3 Like a Saltshaker 1.80 1 2-1
5 5 I’m Wide Awake 3.50 2.1 4-1
8 8 Warp Ride 20.00 2.8 5-1
7 7 Atomic Tone 4.50 3 6-1
4 4 Atta Party 10.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 El Diablo Rojo 5.00 5.6 11-1
1 1 Born Flawless 8.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Philipsburg (IRE) 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Big Walk 30.00 1 2-1
5 5 Hola Joey 10.00 4.2 8-1
9 9 Studeny 20.00 4.2 8-1
7 7 Quality Style 2.50 8.1 15-1
4 4 Tango Mike Mike 8.00 8.3 16-1
2 2 Covert Law 6.00 8.3 16-1
6 6 Magic Mover 1.40 8.4 16-1
1 1 Bold Exchange 15.00 8.9 17-1
3 3 Frack Baby 15.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Ring The Bell S.) – Ring The Bell S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Happy Is a Choice 2.00 1 2-1
6 6 Gulfport 3.00 1.6 3-1
3 3 Gulfstream Way 4.00 3.6 7-1
7 7 Of a Revolution 10.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Durante 20.00 5.5 10-1
4 4 Disco Ball 4.50 SCRATCH
5 5 Run Classic 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Volt 8.00 1 2-1
1 1 Putting Eagle 10.00 2.6 5-1
11 11 High Limit 30.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Mischievous Intent 3.50 3.9 7-1
2 2 La Houligan 8.00 4.5 9-1
12 12 Dreaminblue 3.00 4.8 9-1
8 8 Amor Patriae 30.00 6.5 12-1
9 9 Full Victory 30.00 7.2 14-1
4 4 Winning Campaign 4.00 9.7 18-1
7 7 Baobab 8.00 10.1 19-1
3 3 Chief Liam 20.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Stiglets 15.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.