Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, December 7, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Its Wild Again 5.00 1 2-1
5 5 Handsome Harold 8.00 1.3 2-1
8 8 Righteous Freedom 3.00 2.6 5-1
7 7 Vero Campione 4.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Razz 8.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Seeking a Soldier 12.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 Mine Your Biz 20.00 6.3 12-1
4 4 Slick and Fast 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Baileys Bro 8.00 1 2-1
7 7 Gamer Nate 4.00 1.4 3-1
3 3 The Boss Soss 3.00 1.5 3-1
2 2 Cajun Ami 3.50 2.1 4-1
5 5 My Pal Sweet 8.00 3 6-1
1 1 Purrrfect Rhythm 4.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Titanium Deal 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Raising Kane 0 0-1
5 5 Somekinda Mischief 3.50 1 2-1
8 8 Colonel Yorke 3.00 2.1 4-1
2 2 Diamond Eyed Jack 4.50 4.5 9-1
1 1 Face the Future 4.00 5 10-1
7 7 Good to Be Prince 10.00 5.2 10-1
3 3 Raising Kane 8.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 Justawalkinthepark 8.00 5.5 10-1
6 6 Mischievous Smile 10.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Maasai Warrior 0 0-1
Gorostieta’s Love 0 0-1
1 1 Agatino (IRE) 3.00 1 2-1
2 2 Gotta Keep Him 4.50 3.8 7-1
4 4 Max Is G Money 12.00 4.3 8-1
10 10 Skalkaho 12.00 4.5 8-1
11 11 You’re On Mute 12.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Candy Corn 12.00 5.1 10-1
8 8 Maasai Warrior 10.00 6.2 12-1
5 5 Dapper Dude 20.00 8.1 15-1
14 14 If I Were You 8.00 8.2 15-1
6 6 Cesnola 20.00 9.1 17-1
7 7 Poncho Attack 12.00 9.9 19-1
13 13 Gorostieta’s Love 20.00 10.6 20-1
9 9 Kick a Buck 3.50 SCRATCH
15 15 High Ransom 12.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Concentration 6.00 SCRATCH
12 12 C’Est Magnifique 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 D’oro Unbridled 1.20 1 2-1
1 1 Tiger Moon 6.00 3 6-1
7 7 Welaka 2.50 3.5 7-1
3 3 Boltage 3.50 4.5 9-1
4 4 National Eclipse 20.00 5.2 10-1
5 5 Coppermaster 20.00 6.3 12-1
6 6 Wicked Rose 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Crank It Up 6.00 1 2-1
7 7 Star Anise 6.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Polyrhythmic 2.50 4.1 8-1
5 5 Fancy Quality (GB) 3.00 4.8 9-1
8 8 Moon Mist 6.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 Iseult 8.00 5.6 11-1
1 1 Dial Home 12.00 8 15-1
9 9 Catchyalater 15.00 8.1 15-1
4 4 Closing Prayer 15.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Unified Dreams 0 0-1
4 4 Chrome Baby 3.50 1 2-1
6 6 Unified Dreams 8.00 1.7 3-1
1 1 Snead 3.00 2 4-1
5 5 Maycocks Bay 2.00 2.4 4-1
7 7 Cascade Cruiser 8.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Uxmal 10.00 4.5 8-1
3 3 Overbore 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Glacial Power 4.50 1 2-1
1 1 Anger Rising 20.00 2.6 5-1
9 9 Drunk On Sake 6.00 3.7 7-1
7 7 Malibu Rain 12.00 4.9 9-1
4 4 Sovereigns Joy 10.00 5.6 11-1
10 10 Unleash the Power 3.50 5.6 11-1
2 2 Sir Pistolero 20.00 7.3 14-1
6 6 Sassi D 8.00 8.5 16-1
5 5 Rock N Roll Bolt 12.00 9.7 18-1
11 11 Think Big 4.00 10.7 20-1
3 3 Sono 12.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Honor His Half 4.00 1 2-1
1 1 Platinum Midnight 5.00 1.1 2-1
2 2 Peppered Gal 20.00 3.8 7-1
9 9 Mo Vista 8.00 3.8 7-1
11 11 Fret No More 12.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 Custom V K W 8.00 4.3 8-1
12 12 Canadian Carla 8.00 5.7 11-1
10 10 Show’ Em Nola 20.00 6.4 12-1
6 6 Real Silk 15.00 6.9 13-1
3 3 Crawfish Burl 3.00 SCRATCH
7 7 What’s Up Bertie 15.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Uthinkicare 8.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Candy Girl Miss 8.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Sir Sawyer 20.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.