Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, December 7, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Runtolive 1.80 1 2-1
7 7 Takeover Queen 4.50 3.9 7-1
4 4 The Pretty Sister 3.50 4.2 8-1
5 5 Missneversatisfied 8.00 4.5 9-1
6 6 Country Angel 6.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Take Her Away 6.00 5.8 11-1
2 2 Psalm Prayer 10.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Whatdidwedo 2.00 1 2-1
4 4 Way too Tough 5.00 2.1 4-1
6 6 Wildcats’s Meow 6.00 2.5 5-1
7 7 Gloria’s Boy 10.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 B D Envisionist 6.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 Tap to Connect 3.00 6.1 12-1
8 8 Sweet Candy Boy 12.00 7.7 15-1
3 3 Myturntodeal 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Yankeestrolgy 4.50 1 2-1
1 1 Romeo Spikes 6.00 2.5 5-1
6 6 Hold My Hat 2.50 2.9 6-1
9 9 Big Nickel 8.00 5.4 10-1
10 10 Lotta Spirit Here 12.00 6.5 12-1
7 7 Senor Smoke 8.00 6.6 12-1
2 2 Greatizlove 20.00 6.8 13-1
3 3 About the Business 20.00 7.4 14-1
4 4 He’s Ready to Win 3.50 SCRATCH
5 5 Star Decincodemayo 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Tommy Six Fingers 8.00 1 2-1
1 1 Ain’t So Bad 3.00 1.5 3-1
6 6 Xy Face 1.80 1.6 3-1
8 8 Mymanrowen 15.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 Windtapper Win 15.00 3.3 6-1
7 7 Natural High 6.00 5.7 11-1
5 5 Gold Capo 4.50 6.4 12-1
2 2 Double Bogey 10.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Saucy Argument 5.00 1 2-1
4 4 Puppeteer 12.00 1.7 3-1
7 7 I’m a Night Train 3.50 1.9 4-1
9 9 C F Henry 6.00 2.9 5-1
5 5 Spry Charlie 6.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Gone Solution 15.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 Cool Ride 10.00 5.7 11-1
2 2 Count On Rain 8.00 7.4 14-1
8 8 Aller Vite 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Miz Mastery 3.00 1 2-1
2 2 Never Walk Alone 6.00 2.6 5-1
6 6 Cat Island Express 1.60 3.1 6-1
5 5 Surprise Sunrise 5.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 Grace the Kingdom 8.00 5.8 11-1
4 4 China 15.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Get a Grip On It 10.00 6.9 13-1
7 7 Chimes Lake 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Serape 3.50 1 2-1
9 9 Katie’s Karat 2.50 4.8 9-1
6 6 Sweet Perfection 6.00 6.8 13-1
8 8 She’smysmokeshow 10.00 7.1 13-1
5 5 The Rage of Art 4.50 7.4 14-1
1 1 Mila’s Kat 8.00 7.9 15-1
4 4 Sienna Breeze 12.00 8 15-1
7 7 Cozzolani 8.00 8.8 17-1
2 2 Simple Sunday 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Tennessee Moon 3.50 1 2-1
6 6 Full Spirit 8.00 1.1 2-1
9 9 Won Day 1.80 3.3 6-1
8 8 Saint Eros Girl 6.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Black Ace 8.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Triple Scout 6.00 4.2 8-1
7 7 Amy D 12.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 Wa Wa Wee Wa 12.00 6 11-1
3 3 Summertime Bandit 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Age of Reason 2.00 1 2-1
8 8 Shake Em Bella 5.00 3.6 7-1
9 9 Tre Dita 3.50 4.7 9-1
7 7 Time Signature 6.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 Holiday Cruise 10.00 6.6 12-1
6 6 Norma Jean Bling 12.00 7.1 13-1
3 3 Iced Up 6.00 7.2 14-1
5 5 My Last Chance 20.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Retired Blessing 15.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.