Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, December 7, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Racing Colors 0 0-1
2 2 Munny Grab 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 Malu 1.80 1.3 2-1
4 4 Call Her Bluff 2.00 1.7 3-1
5 5 Clover Street 6.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Racing Colors 8.00 5.4 10-1
6 6 Krystalheir 20.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Man From Malta 20.00 1 2-1
4 4 Monte Avi 10.00 2.2 4-1
1 1 Total Silence 3.50 2.5 5-1
5 5 Solar Glare 12.00 2.8 5-1
10 10 Sobieski 20.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Viking Warrior 8.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 Goodbye 12.00 4.3 8-1
8 8 Uncle Barrie 20.00 4.7 9-1
9 9 Tino in Toga 30.00 5.6 11-1
2 2 Gunman Jayvo 15.00 5.8 11-1
11 11 Trinity River 1.20 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 A Bourbon for Toby 3.50 1 2-1
6 6 No Merlot 20.00 1.2 2-1
7 7 Treaty of Rome 2.00 1.4 3-1
1 1 Derz Smart 4.50 2.2 4-1
5 5 Take Home the Cup 8.00 2.8 5-1
9 9 Timely Decision 6.00 3.4 6-1
8 8 Radauti 12.00 3.4 7-1
4 4 Superpower 15.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Snookie Bear 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Go For Wand S.) – Go For Wand S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Occult 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 Comparative 6.00 1 2-1
1 1 Tizzy in the Sky 3.00 1.8 3-1
4 4 Movie Moxy 6.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Stonewall Star 12.00 2.8 5-1
6 6 Rachel’s Rock 30.00 3.5 7-1
8 8 Shidabhuti 4.50 3.6 7-1
7 7 Ain’t Broke 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Peony 6.00 1 2-1
3 3 Snappin Buttons 12.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Darn That Song 8.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Fabulous Fox 12.00 4 8-1
11 11 P Mutter Pickle 8.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Al’s Ruby 2.00 4.8 9-1
9 9 Nolita 10.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 First Class Cat 4.50 5.3 10-1
8 8 Embraceable Gal 12.00 5.9 11-1
10 10 Hypnotic Flair 30.00 8 15-1
6 6 Kaaterskill 20.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 10 Eleni 20.00 1 2-1
2 1 Oklahoma Smoke 2.50 1 2-1
7 8 Tower Twenty Two 20.00 1.7 3-1
3 4 Unwoke 10.00 2.2 4-1
6 7 Currane 8.00 2.6 5-1
10 11 Tale of the Tail 3.50 3 6-1
8 9 Leonora’s Secret 4.50 3.3 6-1
1A 3 Observer 4.00 3.4 7-1
4 5 Miavana 15.00 4.4 8-1
5 6 Party At the Post 30.00 SCRATCH
1 2 Army Gal 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Remsen S.) – Remsen S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Poster 5.00 1 2-1
5 5 Keewaydin 1.20 2.1 4-1
4 4 Studlydoright 4.50 2.7 5-1
1 1 Tux 3.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Aviator Gui 6.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 Gun Trader 30.00 4.5 8-1
6 6 Surfside Moon 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Demoiselle S.) – Demoiselle S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Muhimma 0.80 1 2-1
2 2 Liam in the Dust 10.00 4.3 8-1
7 7 Five a Side 20.00 5.4 10-1
4 4 Carmen’s Candy Jar 12.00 5.8 11-1
6 6 Bless the Broken 12.00 6.1 11-1
3 3 Fortuna Mia 15.00 6.4 12-1
9 9 Tip Line 30.00 6.9 13-1
8 8 Beauty Reigns 4.50 6.9 13-1
10 10 Ballerina d’Oro 8.00 8.5 16-1
5 5 Michelle 20.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Cigar Mile H. Presented By Twinspires.com) – Cigar Mile H. Presented By Twinspires.com

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Vinsanity 0 0-1
Coastal Mission 0 0-1
5 5 Mullikin 3.00 1 2-1
2 2 Nelson Avenue 30.00 2 4-1
8 8 Pipeline 20.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 Book’em Danno 4.00 2.5 5-1
10 10 Coastal Mission 12.00 2.9 5-1
11 11 Post Time 3.50 3 6-1
9 9 Senor Buscador 6.00 3.3 6-1
7 7 Locked 4.50 3.6 7-1
3 3 Repo Rocks 30.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Vinsanity 50.00 5.4 10-1
6 6 Law Professor 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Jackson Heights 0 0-1
8 8 Quick to Accuse 4.00 1 2-1
5 5 Air of Defiance 8.00 1.2 2-1
7 7 Reynolds Channel 3.00 1.7 3-1
4 4 Commuted 3.50 1.7 3-1
10 10 Night Effect 10.00 1.9 4-1
1 1 Light the Way 30.00 2 4-1
6 6 Treaty Obligation 8.00 2.3 4-1
9 9 Magnificent Mile 12.00 2.3 4-1
11 11 Iridescent 15.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 Jackson Heights 12.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 Still a Soldier 20.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.