Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
In a Mineshaft |
4.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Maui Mistress |
8.00 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
I Bileve |
3.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Peppers Girlfriend |
3.50 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Surf P F H |
2.50 |
3 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Cat Ate the Canary |
10.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Estrera |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Great Excaper |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Cherokee Will |
4.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Gospel Forest |
12.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Valid Euro |
2.50 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Swift Warrior Baby |
8.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
1 |
1 |
Broadway Appeal |
4.50 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
3 |
3 |
Tiz Ticktok |
10.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Race Day Rebal |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Nautical Moon |
0.80 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
4 |
4 |
Computation |
2.50 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Win Worthy |
4.50 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Traffic Boss |
8.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
La Morena |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Poet Laureate |
4.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Eutychia |
3.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Withherbootson |
4.50 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Pure Connection |
5.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Oh Niki |
6.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Stormy At Midnight |
5.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Cause Mimi Said |
3.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Mr Jaws |
2.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
8 |
8 |
Gold Front |
4.50 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Gospel Journey |
15.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Golden Grit |
8.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Wealth Management |
10.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Carcassonne |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Blingster |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Red Seven |
3.50 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
6 |
6 |
Lady Crush |
1.80 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Magnolia Princess |
4.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Traciana |
8.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Chicks Night Out |
8.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Astern Maid |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Just Adorable |
2.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Bulleit Rocks |
6.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Slick City Girl |
5.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Bossadusu |
2.50 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Poetic Union |
4.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Frozentap |
4.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Clay’s Hatchett |
2.50 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Rocky Rock It |
4.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Coboch |
3.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Exhilaration |
6.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
He Is Heaven Sent |
10.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
4 |
4 |
Sweet Devotion |
12.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
1 |
1 |
Run Early Run |
20.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.