Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Smokem Ez | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Be Punctual | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Saltwater Cowboy | 1.80 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Triple Pass | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | McGregor Lake | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Eligio | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Battle Cruiser | 1.80 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sir Maximus | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | He Did | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ignatowski | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | He’squite Mischief | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Bartholdy | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hondo Crouch | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fifth Street | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Jerry’s Spirit | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gentlemen’s Club | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Littlebrotherjoey | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Honeymoon Suite | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Thales | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Erebus | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rogue Son | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Southern Slang | 2.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dark Marcus | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Neon Lights (IRE) | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Zoe’s Candy | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ryan’s Girl | 3.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Daddygaveittome | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Expect Love | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hearts Fantasy | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Liquid Spirit | 6.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Chilean Bride | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Leyas Candy | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bee Catcher | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Vanzzy | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Zimba Warrior | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Impossible Task | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Seattle Breakout | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | God’s Favor | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Flight to Quality (FR) | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | She Be Boss | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Take Caramie | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tiz Lissett | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | One Summer Day | 3.50 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lady Derby | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Ultimate Hy | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Song of Shadows | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Don’t Ju Forget | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lamporghini | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Nothing Is Forever | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Quantum Innergy | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tizzy Twister | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Glacier Rim | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Big Mama Sue | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Professors’ Pride | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.