Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Friday, December 6, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Radiant Rebel 3.50 1 2-1
3 3 Lynna 5.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 Flight On Race Day 3.50 4.7 9-1
4 4 Elodine 3.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Acceleratedvictory 10.00 5.8 11-1
5 5 Oh I Giggle 5.00 6.3 12-1
7 7 Mrs Zepeda 6.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Senator Con 3.50 1 2-1
1 1 Gobot 3.00 2 4-1
8 8 Seehoss 4.50 4.1 8-1
2 2 Hoosier 8.00 4.4 8-1
7 7 Bleep Bleep 6.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Juju Nineteen 12.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 Gallant Star 4.00 6.7 13-1
4 4 Swift N Traffic 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Consecrated 0 0-1
5 5 Tensas Camp Road 5.00 1 2-1
7 7 Infinite Luck 4.00 2.1 4-1
1 1 Consecrated 3.00 2.9 5-1
2 2 Two Dollars 10.00 3 6-1
4 4 Deftly Done 15.00 4.2 8-1
8 8 Dan d’Oro 8.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Wayllen Richard 15.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Porches 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Town Branch 0 0-1
6 6 Mischief Joke 3.00 1 2-1
8 8 Cajun Blast 8.00 1.5 3-1
2 2 Seeking Sawyer 2.50 1.6 3-1
3 3 Gimme the Candy 6.00 2.2 4-1
1 1 Baron of the Nile 3.50 2.5 5-1
5 5 Late Blacksmith 8.00 4 7-1
7 7 Town Branch 8.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Over Calendared 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Atras 5.00 1 2-1
5 5 Fit to Fly 5.00 4 8-1
7 7 Just Say When 12.00 4.1 8-1
9 9 We Miss Arlington 20.00 5.4 10-1
6 6 Sign of War 20.00 6.2 12-1
4 4 Kahaal 20.00 7.4 14-1
3 3 Paddy’s House 8.00 9.1 17-1
10 10 Channel Won 4.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Unified Report 12.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Musical Spell 12.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Cyclone Attack 10.00 SCRATCH
12 12 X J Rascal (IRE) 6.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Prince Lancelot (GB) 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Richies Princess 1.80 1 2-1
1 1 My Ocho 10.00 2.2 4-1
6 6 Aldora 4.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Jaydensqueenoharts 8.00 4.5 8-1
3 3 Blue Heavenly 8.00 4.9 9-1
4 4 Lonie Mo 8.00 5.5 10-1
8 8 Hopeitsmyluckyday 12.00 5.8 11-1
2 2 Frost and Fire 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Giant Storm 3.00 1 2-1
10 10 Curls Nite Out 10.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Midnight Blaze 12.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Freedom Forever 8.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 Love in the Dark 12.00 4.3 8-1
8 8 Romany Road 12.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 Gouvernatrice 20.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 Embrasser 12.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Happy Hour Queen 4.50 SCRATCH
11 11 Little Bit O Storm 10.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Small Town Heroine 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Water Tester 6.00 1 2-1
4 4 Beach Trippin 3.50 1.2 2-1
1 1 Sophie’s Painter 4.00 1.5 3-1
3 3 Box of Candy 4.00 2.5 5-1
6 6 Lucky Bourbon 6.00 4 8-1
8 8 Star Rouge 8.00 4.3 8-1
7 7 Scootin’ Boots 8.00 5.6 11-1
2 2 Battle Face 8.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.