Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Friday, December 6, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Infastuation 3.00 1 2-1
7 7 Just Words 3.50 2.2 4-1
3 3 Lookin to Rock 6.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Classicals Finale 10.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Instant Vision 5.00 5.7 11-1
6 6 Heavens Lee 2.50 6 11-1
1 1 Bourbon Blanket 8.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Hatch 0 0-1
1 1 Forward Move 1.80 1 2-1
5 5 Play 2.00 2.2 4-1
3 3 Hatch 10.00 2.5 5-1
6 6 J J’s Joker 6.00 4.5 8-1
4 4 Beaver State 2.50 6 11-1
2 2 Screaming Uncle 15.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 1 Cyclone State 2.00 1 2-1
6 6 My Mitole 4.00 SCRATCH
4 3 Ican 10.00 4.2 8-1
5 4 Corvus 15.00 4.3 8-1
3 2 Kakao 30.00 5.1 10-1
1A 7 One Man Team 0.80 SCRATCH
1 5 Uncle Jim 0.80 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Reddington 0 0-1
El Grande O 0 0-1
5 6 El Grande O 1.20 1 2-1
6 7 Reddington 4.50 2.6 5-1
1A 5 Gun It 4.00 2.6 5-1
2 1 Squire Creek 20.00 4.4 8-1
1 4 Wake Surf 4.00 4.9 9-1
4 3 Victory Way 2.50 6.3 12-1
3 2 Bramito 8.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Optic Way 5.00 1 2-1
1 1 Winter’s Ghost 2.00 1.1 2-1
7 7 Classic Mark 1.20 1.5 3-1
5 5 Front Man 10.00 1.7 3-1
3 3 Bert Bert Bert 15.00 7.2 14-1
2 2 Prince of Joy 20.00 7.3 14-1
8 8 Bronx Bomber 12.00 7.8 15-1
6 6 Co Conspirator 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Abadin 3.00 1 2-1
4 4 Castle Island 3.50 2.2 4-1
1 1 Boss Tweed 2.00 2.6 5-1
7 7 Collect From Ike 20.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 More Vino 15.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Lotsa Trouble 4.50 7 13-1
8 8 Good Reunion 10.00 7.5 14-1
3 3 Sin Nombre 12.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Fade to Grey 3.00 1 2-1
2 2 Stamp of Approval 4.50 2.4 5-1
4 4 Just Music 3.50 3.1 6-1
5 5 Brown Suga Babe 2.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Bernietakescharge 3.50 4.2 8-1
1 1 Anileate 30.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Adeliese’s Smile 30.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Ready Set Twirl 10.00 1 2-1
2 2 Laird of Magnolia 3.00 1 2-1
7 7 Brave Bear 6.00 1.7 3-1
3 3 Tapizar’s Temper 5.00 1.9 4-1
6 6 Willingness 8.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Arcadian 6.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Daw Samaa 12.00 4.8 9-1
8 8 Steel Vengeance 2.50 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.