Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, December 5, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 La Cantera (IRE) 2.50 1 2-1
4 4 Abundant Love 5.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Annelle 8.00 3.7 7-1
7 7 More for Sure (IRE) 2.00 6.2 12-1
6 6 Smart Lisa 30.00 7.1 13-1
5 5 Palmo 12.00 7.4 14-1
9 9 Cue the Music 20.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Better Than Better 6.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Princess Claudia 30.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Grade A 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Mohawk River 0 0-1
3 3 Coldstream 1.40 1 2-1
2 2 Mohawk River 3.00 1.5 3-1
4 4 Sharpazano 3.50 2.3 4-1
1 1 Show Boat 10.00 2.9 5-1
7 7 Ben’s Hero 15.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Sioux 4.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Smeauxkinitup 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Warlord Cruzan 0 0-1
3 3 Blue Spearman 6.00 1 2-1
4 4 Dundie 6.00 1.7 3-1
2 2 Dr. Perry 3.50 2.2 4-1
5 5 Zio Lorenzo 1.60 2.4 5-1
1 1 Warlord Cruzan 8.00 5 9-1
7 7 Hay Moon 8.00 5.7 11-1
8 8 Beganingreenpoint 10.00 6.2 12-1
6 6 Grumley 10.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Skull Honor 1.80 1 2-1
3 3 Premiado 2.50 2 4-1
5 5 Tempo Ride 6.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Yemrehanakristos 12.00 4.1 8-1
7 7 Inmortal J 15.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Risen Sun 3.50 SCRATCH
4 4 Signal Caller 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Fulminate 4.00 1 2-1
5 5 Bedrock Birdie 3.00 2 4-1
3 3 Judge Judith 12.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 Reassess 10.00 4.5 8-1
2 2 Gunesh 3.50 4.6 9-1
4 4 Hub City 1.40 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 No Mo Cookies 12.00 1 2-1
7 7 High Breeze (FR) 8.00 2.9 5-1
3 3 Candy Buzz 8.00 3.7 7-1
12 12 Laguna Seca 15.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Melle Mel 20.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 American Surfer 3.00 5.7 11-1
4 4 Sweet Kaufy 2.50 7.1 13-1
13 13 Loving Gaze (IRE) 8.00 7.3 14-1
9 9 I Never Lie 15.00 8.2 15-1
10 10 Striver 8.00 8.3 16-1
8 8 Elektra King 30.00 8.7 17-1
11 11 Silver Flame 12.00 9.5 18-1
2 2 Money Battle 15.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Thankfully 6.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Cameo 30.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Snitch Dorada 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Mr Narcissistic 1.40 1 2-1
1 1 Rock to Fame 10.00 1.7 3-1
2 2 Mister Kelly 3.00 2.3 4-1
3 3 Ensign Parker 15.00 5 9-1
7 7 Uranium 30.00 6.3 12-1
8 8 Competitive Saint 8.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Heals the Soul 5.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Christensen 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Agapee Mou 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 Live to Ride (GB) 2.00 1.3 2-1
4 4 Tricky Tiger 8.00 1.6 3-1
1 1 Air Force Royalty 20.00 2.3 4-1
8 8 Reggae Man 3.00 2.8 5-1
9 9 Last Run 30.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Beauty Bolt 6.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 Hard Scholar 20.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Prince David 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Test Factor 3.50 1 2-1
3 3 Themanupfront 2.50 1.2 2-1
1 1 Iris’s Dream 8.00 1.7 3-1
7 7 Reminder 2.00 2.2 4-1
4 4 Awesome Crusader 30.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 For the Chief 6.00 4.9 9-1
8 8 Manhattan Boy 12.00 5.2 10-1
2 2 Lord Knows 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Rogue Diamond 0 0-1
2 2 New Baby 20.00 1 2-1
9 9 Ragtap Girl 1.40 2.5 5-1
3 3 Shiloh 4.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 For the Thrill 30.00 4.3 8-1
8 8 Don’t Tell Amy 3.50 4.5 8-1
6 6 Koutoubia 8.00 6 11-1
4 4 His Choice 8.00 6.3 12-1
5 5 Good Magic Woman 20.00 7.8 15-1
7 7 Sonny’s Goldenlady 10.00 9 17-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.