Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Hardly Mischievous | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mumblebee | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cashew | 6.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Zing | 3.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Courtly Doc | 5.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Nora’s Legacy | 8.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Midnight Trip | 6.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Be a Bandit | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mschitchattour | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Adios Carlos | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Calibrachoamatters | 1.80 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cajun Cyclone | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Back Bayou | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cabochon Treasure | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Truvy’s Bandit | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Canal St. Cupid | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Toms Lucky Mo | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Witchology | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Trips to Win | 3.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dixie’s Astro | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Astroneer | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Zong’s Favor | 10.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Due We Dare | 6.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mo Courage | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Snow Flurry | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dylan’s Dream | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Flathead Finale | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | High Donna | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Imma Going to Win | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Altar Girl | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | My Idea | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Day for the Gray | 5.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Good by Faith | 6.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Charged Up Rose | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Raise the Alarm | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Girl Likes Bling | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sheza Hot Storm | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hopeshecanrun | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tdz Corrienda Star | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Maximum Moxie | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mydealoftheday | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Little E | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Moion | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tensas Lu Lu | 4.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Madelyn’s Hit | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Gotteminabind | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cajun Catalina | 2.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Suzy Doll’s Ready | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Dolly’s Guitar | 8.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hot Patootie | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Miss Target | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Iron in the Fire | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Donegal Factor | 2.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Life Is a Banquet | 8.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Get Them Justin | 4.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | My Buddy Mel | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Race Driver | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hyperbolist | 3.50 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Cupcake Cowboy | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Distorted Math | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Knight’s Gold | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Muncle | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | B D Primary Ours | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Red On the Head | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | A Fool for Carlos | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Janet’s Brother | 5.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Impressive Bidder | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Cajun Country | 10.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Forest Beast | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.