Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, December 5, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Linda’s Jewel 3.00 1 2-1
1 1 Have a Happy 4.00 2.4 4-1
3 3 Vague 3.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 Luckforyou 2.50 4 8-1
5 5 Paraiba Blue 8.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 Quoin 4.50 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 King Moonracer 4.50 1 2-1
1 1 Devil’s Cay 3.00 1.8 3-1
3 3 That’s Money 5.00 3.1 6-1
7 7 Arrebato 8.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Thank You Jon 1.20 4 7-1
6 6 Badlands Ruler 20.00 6.7 13-1
4 4 Whenlovetakesover 15.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Looks First 1.80 1 2-1
2 2 My Angel 2.50 2 4-1
1 1 Corri Felice 2.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 That’sthefactjack 6.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Eddies Rocket 30.00 4 7-1
3 3 Sherman’s Marlin 12.00 4.3 8-1
7 7 Wicked Reya 30.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Fast and Frisky 3.50 1 2-1
6 6 Princess Becca 1.20 1.6 3-1
1 1 Empire Magic 4.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 Chasing Daylight 6.00 2.9 5-1
4 4 Shezanarcticqueen 10.00 3.5 7-1
7 7 Amy’s Light 8.00 5.4 10-1
5 5 Brooklyn Dantz 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Stronsino 3.00 1 2-1
1 1 Exploration 2.50 1.6 3-1
3 3 Dark Devil 8.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 Sardis 10.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 Happy Henry 1.80 4.1 8-1
7 7 Luca On Point 8.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Dialbolico 15.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 1 Paddington 1.20 1 2-1
1A 4 Arrow Speed 2.00 3.8 7-1
5 6 Prove Worthy 5.00 3.8 7-1
1 3 Melt With You 2.00 4.2 8-1
3 2 Indianquest 10.00 6.3 12-1
6 7 Ice Road 8.00 6.4 12-1
8 9 Midnight Worker 20.00 7.3 14-1
4 5 Strong Light 30.00 8.6 16-1
7 8 Steady Progress 30.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Everyoneloveslinda 3.00 1 2-1
3 3 Proud Foot 4.00 3 6-1
6 6 Fancy Azteca 5.00 3 6-1
8 8 Willow Bend 6.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Shesalittle Edgy 6.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Tricky Temper 3.50 3.8 7-1
5 5 Frau Diablo 10.00 5.9 11-1
7 7 I’m Buzzy 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Banyan Breeze 4.00 1 2-1
1 1 Quick Hammer 2.50 1 2-1
2 2 Uncle George 3.00 2.5 5-1
9 9 Air Show 4.50 4.7 9-1
6 6 Musical Heart 12.00 5 10-1
3 3 Fiery Heart 6.00 7.4 14-1
8 8 Always Charming 20.00 7.7 14-1
5 5 Golden Arm 30.00 8.3 16-1
4 4 Union Lights 20.00 9 17-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.