Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Linda’s Jewel |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Have a Happy |
4.00 |
2.4 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Vague |
3.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Luckforyou |
2.50 |
4 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Paraiba Blue |
8.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Quoin |
4.50 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
King Moonracer |
4.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Devil’s Cay |
3.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
That’s Money |
5.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Arrebato |
8.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Thank You Jon |
1.20 |
4 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Badlands Ruler |
20.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
4 |
4 |
Whenlovetakesover |
15.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Looks First |
1.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
My Angel |
2.50 |
2 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Corri Felice |
2.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
That’sthefactjack |
6.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Eddies Rocket |
30.00 |
4 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Sherman’s Marlin |
12.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Wicked Reya |
30.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Fast and Frisky |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Princess Becca |
1.20 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
Empire Magic |
4.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Chasing Daylight |
6.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Shezanarcticqueen |
10.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Amy’s Light |
8.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Brooklyn Dantz |
20.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Stronsino |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Exploration |
2.50 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
Dark Devil |
8.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Sardis |
10.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Happy Henry |
1.80 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Luca On Point |
8.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Dialbolico |
15.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
1 |
Paddington |
1.20 |
1 |
2-1 |
1A |
4 |
Arrow Speed |
2.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
5 |
6 |
Prove Worthy |
5.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
1 |
3 |
Melt With You |
2.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
3 |
2 |
Indianquest |
10.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
6 |
7 |
Ice Road |
8.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
8 |
9 |
Midnight Worker |
20.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
4 |
5 |
Strong Light |
30.00 |
8.6 |
16-1 |
7 |
8 |
Steady Progress |
30.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Everyoneloveslinda |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Proud Foot |
4.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Fancy Azteca |
5.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
8 |
8 |
Willow Bend |
6.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Shesalittle Edgy |
6.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Tricky Temper |
3.50 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Frau Diablo |
10.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
7 |
7 |
I’m Buzzy |
15.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Banyan Breeze |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Quick Hammer |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Uncle George |
3.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
9 |
9 |
Air Show |
4.50 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Musical Heart |
12.00 |
5 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Fiery Heart |
6.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
8 |
8 |
Always Charming |
20.00 |
7.7 |
14-1 |
5 |
5 |
Golden Arm |
30.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
4 |
4 |
Union Lights |
20.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.