Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Maximus Freedom | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Wishert | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bouldering | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tripple D Ruller | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Samurai’s Grandson | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Skippa | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Matzoh Ball | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Achromedoutcat | 15.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Majestic Palace | 8.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Super Curioso (ARG) | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Minnesota Miracle | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Andiamo Giacomo | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Sammy Danseur Jr. | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Charming Charlie | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fast Verdict | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Duke of Blue Ridge | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Spheroid | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | State of the Union | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Big Brother | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Kentucky Peerless | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Sam’s Promise | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Talk of the Town | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tucker the Grump | 10.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Cowboy Cause | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | All Saints | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Klimtomaniac | 3.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Royal de Be | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Herecomestroy | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Cajun Eddie | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | American Smooth | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Unfathomed | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sir Eli | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Doctor Leo | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Pomeroy Haze | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Monitor Mills | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mr B Quiet | 20.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Run Rocket | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Johnnysjourney | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Elusive d’Oro | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Bar Tap | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Triple L’s Cutter | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Skykat | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Jess’s Rainbow | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tenacious Lady | 5.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Crystal Crescent | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Emityaaz | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dream Town | 12.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mayapretty | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Marina | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Knights Sword | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Payton’s Indian | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lady Be Gone | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Say What | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Savannah’s Here | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Ruled by Spirit | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Pinching Pennies | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cece Wave | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Little Z | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Unified Love | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Entitlement | 6.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Run Bambi Run | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | A P Humor | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Come What Mae | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Kappa Hill | 20.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Saberfight | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Grace’s Soldier | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Free Will | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Scampering Ma’am | 3.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Magical Deal | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Shehasanattitude | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sassy Spry | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Don’t Blink Twice | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Midnight Cigarette | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Time to Close | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Discreet Deal | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Zippy Season | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Miss Daahen | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.