Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Spinning Heart | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | I Can Do Magic | 2.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Magical Road | 5.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Heat Alert | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Remarkable Mo | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Evasive Moves | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Renard | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Reckless Place | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Shanghai Superfly | 4.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mizzen Man | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Spotted Bull | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rahmer | 2.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Empire’s Score | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cousin Andrew | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Borracho Concho | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 6 | 6 | Checking Boxes | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Why Stop There | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Borracho Concho | 1.80 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | The Grayt Pumpkin | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | El de Leo | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Heavy Timber | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Merrychill | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Wiki Lio | 8.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Flag Song Flyin | 8.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Pull No Punches | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Echo Lake | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fast Gal | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Five Star Fran | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Victoriousvictoria | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Udidn’tpay | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sister Eve | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Hyacinth Bucket | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Au Some Warrior | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | The Tire Man | 6.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | River’s Gamble | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | National Law | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Grey Images | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Just Cheesy | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Foil | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | L Golden Boy | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Baafeed | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Pylon | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jw’s Third Mischie | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Power Agenda | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sea Trident | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Catch My Vibe | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Boom Boom Kaboom | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rockin Freebee | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Winning Time | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Don’t Wait Up | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Windsor Gold | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Chuck Willis (IRE) | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Alpine Thunder | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tuskegee Airmen | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bolt of Aurum | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Mendelsfly | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Strasse | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Birthday Bond Rob | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sam Wheat | 8.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Khopesh | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Whoosh | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Road Call | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Social Joe | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Zona de Amigos | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Blackwater Falls | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Jiggery Pokery | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.