Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Pennys Deal | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Connectique | 1.80 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Heavenly Deal | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Deal With It Daddy | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Pitch and Run | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Gran Chico | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Habanero Tom | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Dustin the Diamond | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Daryl’s Bolt | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Briartown | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lil Sweet Thang | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cajun Mischief | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Benissimo | 4.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Red Idol | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Lord Harmony | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Light Face | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Aubree’s Halo | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | F J’s Chaos | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Double Cute | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Show Respect | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Glamorous Touch | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | La Tress Gray | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hey Madalyn Claire | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Aunt Irene | 10.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Starbuck Luck | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Scrapbook | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dianna’s Jet | 2.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Missheartbreaker | 6.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bitsy C C Lil Girl | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Reddingandlee | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dee’s Legs | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tactical Vision | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Zippy Toga | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Styling Hook | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Iron Moon | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Watch the Coast | 4.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | R T’s d’Oro | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Tucker the Grump | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Admiral Afleet | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Skinny Bobby | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Kinfolk | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dr. Snyder | 8.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Hayhaycaptain Jac | 4.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Hard Luck Henry | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Preferito Da Barbi | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Run Carlos | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Pure Malice | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Barahin | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | J’s Little Man | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Peanut N Ike | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Lucky’s Secret | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Howit Happened | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Fire Sword | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hanks | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Top of My Game | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mr. Four Sevens | 4.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | In the Arch | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Talk to Tokey | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Affirm Chief | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Bode’s Light | 3.50 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Irish Declaration | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Sarah’s Vision | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Eye Dee Kay | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mosquito Fleet | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Home Visit | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Runningforcash | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Drivehappy | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Biloxi | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Zultan | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Santino’s Fantasy | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Lover Boy | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | One Putt Richie | 5.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Heza Priority | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Uptown Social | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Pinch Me a Penny | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | My Man Flintstone | 4.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Cajun Up | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Bayou Beaux | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Why Joey Why | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Half Ours N Stormy | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Heartthrob Halo | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Holy Bayou | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.