Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Bullet Breeze | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Optimistic Nate | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Clancy O’Toole | 0.80 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Third Watch | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Badbadbobby | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | First Squad | 8.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | El de Leo | 12.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Travel Guide | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Papa Do Papa Do | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Estilo Unico | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rock Me Gently | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Daring Max | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Vivi Rose | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Alyvia’s Girl | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mariah Kathryn | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Charlotte’s Potter | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Kaya Star | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Striking Speed | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mastermind | 1.80 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Star Weaver | 15.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Crypt | 20.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ahsad | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Crypt | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Notable Bob (CHI) | 3.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Semper Fidelis | 4.50 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Renegade Serenade | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 3 | 3 | Hey River | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Imaginized | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Checkitup | 1.80 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Renegade Serenade | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fast Payday | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Balantyne | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | McMagic | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | I’m Not a Baby | 15.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fenwick Jack | 12.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Gamerun | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keithsendshelloooo | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 3 | 3 | Chattalot | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Keithsendshelloooo | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Real Talk | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Final Shot | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Meet Me At Mundis | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Young Squire | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Capital Conquest | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Prince of Rain | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | A Dangerous Guy | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Turkey Trot S.) – Turkey Trot S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Irish Cork | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Concealed Carry | 4.50 | 1.9 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Movisitor | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ninetyprcentmaddie | 8.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Eloquist | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Warrior Johny | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Supreme Being | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Seven’s Eleven | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Let’s Give Thanks S.) – Let’s Give Thanks S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Spikezone | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Witty | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Veeson | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Capo | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | One More Scoop | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Debit Card | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Depoli | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Angkor | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Windsor Gold | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Pennsylvania Nursery S.) – Pennsylvania Nursery S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | The Boy’s Warrior | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ballad of Warrior | 4.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Baby Dukes | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Byrde of War | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Crab Daddy | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Reelin N Dealin | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Cornucopia S.) – Cornucopia S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Speedy Traveler | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Confirmed Star | 4.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Talk to the Judge | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Beach Daze | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Early Edition | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bourbon Bon Bay | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Disco Ebo | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Snow Lake | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Patty Brown Eyes | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Ferrari Kid | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Youbetterbejoking | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Warrior’s Vow | 5.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Flashy Alex | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Tough Workout | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mister Moore | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Plenty of Time | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | So Close So Far | 6.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Scamp Walker | 12.00 | 11.5 | 22-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tiempo Perfecto | 6.00 | 11.5 | 22-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rumaway | 6.00 | 11.8 | 22-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Shadow Man | 12.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.