Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Moral | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Countthebrave | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Chris’s Revenge | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Optical | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | McAfee | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Greatdayforhockey | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rock Solo | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Ethereal Road | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hayes Strike | 2.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Thunderian | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | J. P. Race | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mowins | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Go Emi | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Echo Again | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Triple Elvis | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Good Like Magic | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Island Cruiser | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mr McGregor | 5.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dewy’s Beast | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hunter John | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Star of Wonder | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Stretch Ride | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Parchment Party | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Donegal Destiny | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lambeth | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Vitality | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Rocky Joy | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sully | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Sweet Freedom | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Four Top | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Take Tomorrow | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Finn McSorley | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fayette Spirit | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Publicity | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ghost Nation | 15.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Alrasikh | 15.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Demetrius | 20.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Farm Team | 20.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lucky Seven | 30.00 | 15 | 28-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Bisate | 30.00 | 15 | 28-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Techne | 30.00 | 15 | 28-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Hearts United | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lookatmybuckle | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bisa | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Thunder Kin | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Barbarina | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Talksalot | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Square Baby | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Pounds in Town | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Keepsake | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Pretty Sassy | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Trading Secrets | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Foie Gras | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Brown Sugar | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Good Game | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Quick to Charm | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Vino Bella | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Lost and Found | 12.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Miss Authentic | 12.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Shared Vision | 12.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Whippoorwill | 15.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sight to See | 15.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lil Drummer Girl | 20.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Coastal Invasion | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Perfect Shot | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Undercover | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | C’Est Cheese | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Come as You Are | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Stormy Mitole | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Lightning Myqueen | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Harbor Springs | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Our Keepsake | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Amy Z | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Clique | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Tennesseehoneybee | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Coppola | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Run Carson | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Joe Shiesty | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Charcoal | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Double Clutch | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dhabab (IRE) | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Durante | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Stitched | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sosua Summer | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Let My People Go | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Bear River | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Bling | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Attache | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Morunning | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | B Sudd | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Run Jalen Run | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Liam’s Journey | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Trust Daddy | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Furious Anger | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Pursuit of Power | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Glen Airy | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Cathedral Beach | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mo Rum | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Thoughtthatcounts | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Al Ameeq | 30.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.