Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, November 24, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Prancing Spirit 1.60 1 2-1
1 1 Long Wave 2.00 1.2 2-1
5 5 I’m Very Sweet 3.00 1.5 3-1
3 3 Grand Crossing 5.00 2.3 4-1
6 6 Security Detail 12.00 4.9 9-1
4 4 Found Grace 15.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Dillinger 1.40 1 2-1
3 3 Forward Move 2.00 1.3 2-1
6 6 Laser Sharp 5.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Java Buzz 6.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Tommy Two Socks 6.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Hatch 12.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Cha Cha Wren 0.60 1 2-1
2 2 Dancing Dakotah 4.00 2.4 5-1
3 3 Lookin to Rock 8.00 4.1 8-1
7 7 Dear John 8.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Vino Paella 10.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 Bella Luna Mia 12.00 5.8 11-1
1 1 Laguardia 15.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Bernieandtherose 0.60 1 2-1
6 6 Grace and Grit 3.50 1.5 3-1
2 2 Playful Lass 4.50 1.7 3-1
3 3 Timia 6.00 1.9 4-1
5 5 Misseliofwar 12.00 2.9 6-1
4 4 Selectively Sweet 30.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Trulli Warrior 1.60 1 2-1
4 4 Limits of Power 2.50 1.5 3-1
1A 7 Just Be Honest 3.50 2 4-1
1 1 Raleigh St. Clair 3.50 2 4-1
3 3 Prairie Dunes 6.00 3.3 6-1
7 8 Shear Magic 10.00 5.4 10-1
5 5 Awesome Force 12.00 6.4 12-1
2 2 This Time Yes 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 Runnin’ Ray 1.20 1 2-1
1A 6 Beachwalker 3.50 2.8 5-1
1 4 Khafre 3.50 2.8 5-1
7 8 J J’s Joker 5.00 4 8-1
2 1 First Glimpse 6.00 4.8 9-1
6 7 Allaboutthemoney 8.00 6.4 12-1
5 5 Flat Out Flying 10.00 8 15-1
3 2 Bold Victory 10.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Bolt of Aurum 1.80 1 2-1
2 2 Surveillance 2.00 1.1 2-1
4 4 Full Moon Madness 4.00 2.3 4-1
3 3 Celestial Glaze 6.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Bramito 6.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 Ridgewood Runner 10.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Tabeguache 1.80 1 2-1
6 6 Winit 3.00 1.6 3-1
4 4 Costa Terra 3.50 1.8 3-1
7 7 Sheriff Bianco 6.00 2.9 5-1
2 2 Instant Coffee 6.00 2.9 5-1
3 3 Disarmed 10.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 Thin White Duke 15.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Neuschwanstein 2.50 1 2-1
4 4 Squints 3.00 1.2 2-1
1 1 Augustine Red 3.50 1.4 3-1
3 3 Heard On Thestreet 4.50 1.8 3-1
8 8 Indianquest 6.00 2.4 5-1
5 5 Dads Good Runner 12.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Sin Nombre 15.00 6 11-1
7 7 Steady Progress 20.00 8 15-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.