Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | U Know When U Know | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | In My Memories | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Remembering Lizzy | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | First Pearl | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Thunder in Paris | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Esroh | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Rue de Mosel Tov | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Eccentric | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rose Gold Candy | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Lady Zeta | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Kingdom Queen | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Levisa | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Watch Your Tone | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Skip Thru Da Fire | 3.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Freccia d’Argento | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sullivan Street | 8.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sweet Shugs | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Silver Trinket | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Boujee Bubblez | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Can Do | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Luminous Secret | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Drink Deeply | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Persian | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sabra’s Song | 6.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Missy’s Map | 12.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ready for Magic | 10.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Willa On The Move S.) – Willa On The Move S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Olivia Darling | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Simply Stated | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ms. Bucchero | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bourbon Bon Bay | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mattitude | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Pudd’n N Pie | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Cattivo Ragazzo | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Intrepid’s Legacy | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | S S Sinatra | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Must Be Love | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | My Mamba | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Call Me Andy | 2.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Great Heavens | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gotts Got It | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Same Day as L J | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Mr. Mendelslew | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lightning Boss | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tetched | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Wilding Lane | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Myluckeyvalentine | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Union Thunder | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Imperial Spy | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Amazing Bernie | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Likeagentleman | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Classic Ruby | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Bye Bye Wicked Eye | 8.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Moral Distortion | 15.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mamba Mindset | 20.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 3 | 3 | White Blue | 30.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Dave’s Friend S.) – Dave’s Friend S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Witty | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dean Delivers | 1.80 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Manny Wah | 4.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | No Cents | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mr. Antonelli | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Five Dreams | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Factually Correct | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Richard W. Small S.) – Richard W. Small S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Mosler Time | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Excellorator | 3.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Copper Tax | 1.60 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Magic Michael | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Armando R | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Elephants Ear | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cataleya Strike | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ain’t Da Beer Cold | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Masakado | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Drilling for Gold | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Secret Treasure | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Wired In | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Vilaluz | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Renewing Vows | 8.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Better Watch It | 30.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Portis | 8.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bali Rolling Tide | 10.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.