Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Masked Man | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Seeking to Collect | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Praiseworthy | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Insolent | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Head Lad | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Decisive Pride | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mister Cooper | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Svar | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Orange Lake | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Egyptian Quest | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noble Tiger | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 7 | 7 | Billy the Greek | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Foxtrot Harry | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Speed Control | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Silent and Violent | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Remerton | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Joint Resolution | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Noble Tiger | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | T B Twelve Always | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roar of the Beast | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 5 | 5 | Iron Hand | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Lawler | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Roar of the Beast | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sneaky Sneaky | 12.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Helicon | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Eliot House | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Riding a Dream | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | He’s a Daredevil | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mati Gol | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Hits Different | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | In the End | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | One of One | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | R Firebird | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lucy’s Cookie | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Pharoahs Baby Gyal | 20.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Madness | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Moor Strength | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Clay Soldier | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Smart Jenny | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Lady Azteca | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Winners Glory | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Whodoyoulikehere | 12.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Widerthanamile | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Shaboujee | 10.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gran Conquistadora | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Gunnadiva | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Maca Abarrio | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Liz Dreamin | 30.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Granka | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Simsara | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Juvenile Sprint S.) – Juvenile Sprint S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Big Paradise | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Most Handsome | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Noble N Magical | 4.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Nothingsubtle | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Indecisiveness | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Aegon Targaryen | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vow to Resiliency | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 6 | 6 | Wild and Free | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Le Touche | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | We Sea You (IRE) | 4.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Force of Law | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Vow to Resiliency | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Zenith | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Lush Lips (GB) | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lotus Petal | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Giddy Up Baby | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Notiptoni | 30.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Take Me to Paris | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Oxar | 30.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Nouveau | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | American of Course | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Trevess | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Vindicate Cha Cha | 4.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Risadita | 8.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Foggy Note | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Royally Blue | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | My Chutzpah | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Musthavebeenlove | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sheza Rajun Cajun | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Mobou | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Wicked Genius | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Swan Lake | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Valentine Bug | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Speight’spercomete | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Be Here | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Honesto | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Globes | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Bringer of Rain | 15.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gentleman Gerry | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cosmic Speculation | 30.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Coach Abernathy | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Handicap) – Handicap
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Capture the Lion | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Doctor Jeff | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Okiro | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Whenigettoheaven | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Smithwick’s Spice | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Abrir Caminos (CHI) | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Takecareofbusiness | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | X Y Point | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Barrell Craft | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Carlin Clan | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Rapture Bay | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Heathcliff | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Rapscallion | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Lomachenko | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Moral Agency | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Guaio | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Wine Empire | 30.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Kuwait Towers | 30.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Iron Man Jimmy | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.